The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up

Shipper predicts OpenAI and Anthropic launch agent app stores within a year

“And I bet you within a year the opening eyes in the anthropics of the world will have app stores for apps that are built specifically to be used inside of these services. Maybe even cursor too. I don't have any insight on any of this.”

Dan Shipper Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 29:06 GPT 5.6 SOL IS HERE! How to use it.

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Dan Shipper: Per-task pricing in AI will work really well

“I think, and I think that's a new sort of trend in the AI pricing realm is not charging per month, but charging like per successfully completed task or something like that. And I think that's going to work really well.”

Dan Shipper Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 8:20 3 AI app ideas that are goldmines (and how to grow them)

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Shipper: What AI makes cheap will become more expensive as human luxury

“I think that trend will continue with AI stuff. So I look at what is AI making cheaper and then look at what, like that thing will become more expensive just for a smaller percentage of the population.”

Dan Shipper Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 23:41 3 AI app ideas that are goldmines (and how to grow them)

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