why aren't all 35 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Howell: AI agents will soon reverse engineer SaaS products via APIs
“I think in the not so far future, you'll be able to paste a SAS into like, I don't know, you could do it with chat GPT operator, maybe and have it look at the SAS and reverse engineer it and use a public API. To build it for you.”
Insight
Howell: Hardcode Proven Workflows With Scripts to Eliminate LLM Black Box Risk
“Once you've got a workflow that's working for you want to get rid of all the ambiguity. So I could have GrokBot write the blurbs every week and it does a really good job. But if the model changes or I don't know, just depending on how the bot's feeling, it mig…”
Insight
Howell: 5 Targeted Agent Pitches Outperform Mass-Emailing 200 Leads
“What you should do is set up an automation that goes on Monday that goes, okay, your job is to Add five prospects to our list. And then on Monday, okay, pick the top three prospects and create an ad package custom to them and draft an outbound email and then s…”
Insight
Howell: Build Physical Brands as Digital Creation Costs Approach Zero
“The cost of creating digital things is going to zero. There's no friction there. Actually making something physical a brand that you can just like build over time. I think that, I think that's a smart thing to do.”
Opinion
Howell: Custom AI Micro-Apps Can Command $30,000 Price Tags
“I buy that you could put a 30,000 dollar price tag on something like this. Cause it, the savings are there right off the bat. You're intimate with the users and it's custom to them.”
Opinion
Howell: Solo developers can easily earn $5K-$10K monthly on Upwork
“I would say, like, solo dolo I think you could easily clear
Five, 10 K a month, just without any outside help.
definitely building apps, but even just like if you consult on the right kind of product projects surrounding like a specific SAS.”
Insight
Howell: Visual Agent Avatars Reduce Cognitive Switching Costs Over Text Interfaces
“Color and shape is all the human brain needs to differentiate something. So you can easily recognize all your different little teammates here versus like a grade, just like a gray thread in chat GPT or Claude. It's just, I find this tool saves you so much on s…”
Insight
Howell: Running multiple businesses on one GrokBot instance degrades agent effectiveness
“You don't have enough tokens to build four businesses as one at once. You're going to go into debt paying for tokens on even worse than that. You're going to have context bleed. That's going to make all of your agents less effective.”
Insight
Howell: Human operators must make tool choices instead of letting agents decide
“One of the pitfalls I see people make is having their agents make too many decisions for them. So for example, I've been struggling with where does our content live when we're writing the newsletter? Does it live in Notion database? Does it live in local files…”
Insight
Howell: Have chief of staff agent execute a workflow before building a dedicated bot
“Say you want to set up an outbound sales agent for your newsletter and sell ad space. Have your chief of staff do that exact task once, and then once it does it, and you've reviewed it, and it worked, be like, okay, now create an outbound bot that does that th…”
Insight
Howell: Cap AI Agent Status Reports at Five Lines to Save Tokens
“I think that you just five lines is all you need more than that. It's you're just going to be burning tokens in context.”
Insight
Howell: Three Rounds of Adversarial AI Review Improves Output to 90%
“Create a panel of sub agents for Grokbot. It could be, you know, the chief of staff or other agents on the team and have them do an adversarial review of your work. Do that in three rounds. And that has got, that has made me so much progress on stuff that norm…”
Insight
Howell: Operators must spend weeks in the weeds before agents run autonomously
“You really have to run, you have to be in the weeds with the team for a couple of days, a couple of weeks before you can run it autonomously.”
Insight
Howell: Agent Creep and Unnecessary Bots Burn Tokens Without Making Progress
“Why I like rock bot and how I use it is I only add an agent if we really like needed, I just, I'm so anti idea creep and agent creep because that's how you burn tokens. That's how you'd spin your wheels. That's how you don't make process progress.”
Insight
Howell: Over-Engineering Agent File Sync Workflows Distracts from Actual Output
“Grokbot works well on its computer and it can read stuff on yours, but I find myself falling into this trap of, okay, you know, generate a report and then put it on my desktop and then put it in notion. And I don't know if other people are like this, but you e…”
Opinion
Howell: Newsletters and directories offer lowest entry barrier with GrokBot
“I think the lowest barrier to entry with crockbot to start a business is probably newsletter and then directory. I think that stack goes together really nice.”
Insight
Howell: Never Let ChatGPT Specify Tech Stacks for Replit Agent
“I think it just will cross too many wires if ChatGPT is like, use like Next.js and Node and this and that, because that's what Replit's good at, is kind of picking the stack that it knows how to do, so.”
Insight
Howell: Including OAuth in Specs Confuses AI Coding Agents
“If it, if ChatGPT tells you OAuth, like, that's probably going to confuse your AI agent. It's just more steps.”
Insight
Howell: Build 50 Apps and Iterate Constantly to Master AI Development
“I would say go make, like, 50 apps. Just, like, keep iterating. Don't get stuck on one. Like, that's my advice is to If you have an idea, try to make it three different ways and then move on to the next idea and you'll get really good at using all these tools …”
Insight
Howell: Find a buyer before building software rather than after
“That's where most people get this wrong is they build something and then try to sell it or try to get users. But I found it's a lot easier to just find something someone wants to buy and then build it.”
Insight
Howell: Replacing existing software makes custom app sales easier
“But I think it's an easier sell when you're replacing something or doing something better than like existing software could do.”
Insight
Howell: CRUD apps are the sweet spot for AI vibe coding
“Usually we're looking for crud apps, right? Something where it's just putting data in a database, pulling it, visualizing it. You could do all of this with vibe coding for sure. It's just going to take, you know, more tinkering.”
Insight
Howell: Most automations can be turned into front-end apps
“Automations is also a good keyword to look for because you can turn most op automations into an app with a front end.”
Opinion
Howell: Replit offers the lowest friction from idea to MVP
“I like Repl.it because I think you can get from idea to MVP with the least amount of friction. You don't have to worry about package management installing stuff, does all of that. And then you can deploy really easily and test.”
Insight
Howell: AI coding tools consistently struggle with dates and time zones
“AI in general gets kind of mixed up with date formatting and time zones. So that's something to look out for sure.”
Disclosure
Howell hires specialized developers to finish the final 15% of AI code
“What I do now that this is like a real agency is I kind of have a dev that specializes in this kind of stuff. Go through and do like the last 15% and kick the tires, right?”
Insight
Howell: Paying $50 for debugging bounties beats hours of AI troubleshooting
“It's just like, 50 bucks to troubleshoot something is such a good use of money versus me banging my head against the wall, burning 10 dollars in AI credits and six hours of my night, you know?”
Insight
Howell: Pitch custom AI apps to replace clients' most expensive SaaS
“So I think what you can do if you're like an entrepreneur trying to do this is like, Build like one or two apps, like probably more than that, like get good at it. Like I made like 40. And then just call business owners and be like, what's the most annoying th…”
Disclosure
Howell: Running One Newsletter Consumed 90% of His Weekly GrokBot Limit
“I think in the first week I used it pretty heavily but was able to get through week one with like, 10% of my usage left. And that's me running one newsletter.”
Insight
Howell: Letting Users Paste Invoice Links Reduces Onboarding Friction
“And that also, that features a good way, I think, to get users who, you know, may not want to switch over their whole billing to you, right? They just want to use this to push existing invoices.”
Opinion
Howell: Legacy Email APIs Are Too Complex For Rapid MVP Development
“Setting up transactional emails for your SaaS is like such an annoying step. And all the traditional ones like are for some reason, like such a pain to use, like an arduous setup process, weird billing, like a zillion features. And so when I found this, I was …”
Insight
Howell: Sending Loom demo prototypes wins $2,500 Upwork gigs
“If it's a simple enough app, and it's 2500 bucks, right you could go ahead and build the prototype, and then in the proposal, send it as a Loom link of you, like, demoing it for them, which I've done, and it worked for the first one I ever did.”
Disclosure
Howell built over 40 AI applications within four months
“Like four months ago, I made a captain's log app that you just talk into and uses AI to like summarize your day. And since then I made like 40 more.”
Insight
Howell: Aspiring vibe coders should rapidly build a high volume of apps
“Go out there and build something, just vibe code, make a game make something cool and then move on. I would move on to the next one. I would just make a ton of apps. That's my advice.”
Disclosure
Howell charged $750 for his first vibe-coded Upwork project
“The first one I did for 750 bucks.”