why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rubin: Value of genuine human access will surge alongside AI clones
“So I actually think that actually having time with Greg one-on-one with Greg Geisenberg one-on-one or online, but with the real Greg, it's going to grow exponentially higher when the image and replication of Greg through AI is going, you know, thousand X.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rubin: AI will force online identity and credential verification within 10 years
“And with AI, like in 10 years from now, it's going to be really important to know, is this person on the other side really did what they do, or do they really have the same amount of, you know, podcast listeners? Do they actually live in Miami? Did they actual…”
Insight
Rubin: Proliferation of derivative assets increases original asset value
“I have this instinctive belief that all derivative assets eventually increase the value of the original asset. Meaning in a way pickleball just, the more pickleball is out there, the most, the more the value of 10 is going up. The more, you know, the more ther…”
Insight
Rubin: A solo developer can build an on-chain dating protocol
“For proof of concept, I would start with just a set of smart contracts that is on an On an L two, basically on, on, on a lay layer that is much cheaper on top of Ethereum, where you can actually create this protocol, like just exist on Ethereum and without sta…”
Assertion Contradicted
Rubin: Luxury watch marketplaces charge 10% to 20% transaction fees
“Right now all these marketplaces, they take arbitrage to create the illusion of trust, right? So they take their 20% or 10% of the transaction because they are, you know, Chrono or other places where people buy watches.”
Assertion Supported
Rubin: Prada embeds RFID tags in all clothing items
“Even, even Prada today have RFIDs on all the clothes, right? You can actually scan those things.”
Insight
Rubin: Luxury communities should admit verified owners free and charge observers
“And even if you take it further, you can even say like, Hey, if you already bought a Rolex and you have the details of the Rolex, you get in free. It's the people that are curious or people who couldn't prove that they already From an ethos perspective, believ…”