why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rief: Feastables might become a billion-dollar brand within a year
“So that right there in a year might be a billion dollar brand alone.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rief: Morning Brew has 4.5M daily subscribers and no newsletter will match it
“We have four and a half million subscribers to our daily, and I don't think anyone will get there.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rief: Email usage will remain the same in 20 years
“I think the same, right? I mean, I probably heard seven years ago at this point, maybe five years ago, Slack was going to take over email. I think if anything, Slack is just incremental. And if anything, it actually clears your inbox for email, right? Because …”
Prediction Held up
Rief: MrBeast's spin-off ventures will surpass $1B in cumulative value
“I think the cumulative enterprise value of what he creates will be well above a billion dollars.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Austin Rief: Paid Solo Newsletter Growth Will Slow Dramatically as Churn Increases
“I think the growth rates of these things are going to slow down dramatically and churns and increase over time.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rief: Multi-million subscriber general news newsletters are unlikely to emerge
“And of course I say this and there will be, but I don't think there will be many more multimillion person reader general News, general business news, email newsletters that, you know, are standalone companies, whether they're bootstrapped or VC backed. I just,…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rief: AI will make top copywriters significantly more valuable
“I think the second thing is it only makes great copywriting more important. It makes great, great copywriting super unique. And I think it's going to make the best copywriters worth so much more because when there's more content out there and there's more cont…”