why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Pompliano: Evidence for human-driven climate change is not compelling
“It is obvious temperatures are changing. Things are in some cases getting better, in some cases getting worse, but the evidence of human driven change is not nearly as compelling as many people think.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Very Few One-Person Companies Will Ever Reach $100M in Revenue
“I don't think that we are going to see very many one person companies reach significant scale measured in nine figures of revenue.”
Insight
Pompliano: Content that repels a large audience attracts another large audience
“When I evaluate content, newsletters, media properties, I ask myself, is this content going to repel some large portion of people? Because if it is going to repel some large portion of people, it will attract another large portion of people.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Bay Area Times pioneered the visual newsletter format
“We have Bay Area times. It is a newsletter focused on business, tech, and finance. We pioneered something called a visual newsletter.”
Opinion
Pompliano: Warren Buffett created the creator economy as a financial influencer
“Warren Buffett created the creator economy. Everyone gets mad when I say that on wall street, but the guy is 100% on a financial influencer.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Joe Rogan generates $50M revenue per employee on a two-person team
“Joe Rogan's got two employees himself and one other person, and they have a hundred million dollar deal with Spotify. They do fifty million dollars per employee.”
Insight
Pompliano: Public narrative often matters more than fundamental truth in markets
“Sometimes it doesn't matter what the truth is. The public narrative is actually the thing that prevails.”
Disclosure
Pompliano: Bay Area Times reached 260,000 subscribers in five months
“It launched in February of 20, 23. By May, we had 20,000 subscribers. Today it has over 260,000 subscribers. So 12 X growth in four or five months.”
Assertion Partly supported
Pompliano: BuzzFeed generates $400M revenue with 1,000+ staff at $50M market cap
“BuzzFeed has over a thousand employees. They do four hundred million dollars in revenue, and the company's worth fifty million dollars in the public market.”
Insight
Pompliano: Entrepreneurs need financial security before optimizing for long-term impact
“If you look at many of the people who have been able to do this throughout the decades, usually you have to reach some degree of success and have some degree of security before you really have the ability to do that. You trade off short-term income and revenue…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Bay Area Times had zero employees for nine months
“With Bay Area times, it was just me and him from February until two weeks ago. There was no employees. There was no anything.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Bay Area Times will quickly surpass The Pomp Letter
“Barry at times is very quickly going to become bigger than the pomp letter.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Employment Business Placed Over 3,000 People in Two Years
“One example, we've got a business in the employment sector. We've helped over 3000 people get a job in the last two years.”