The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Ohanian: 90% of gamers will only play games that pay them
“In five years, no one, 90% of people will not play a game unless they are being properly valued for that time.”
Ohanian: 'Minimum Viable Community' will become the new standard
“The minimum viable community is going to become the new standard and you're already seeing it in PFP projects.”
Ohanian: Bored Ape owners will borrow against NFTs and never sell
“It is inevitable and on the order of months and lots of years, if not months for all those Bored Ape owners, To never have to actually sell.”
Ohanian: VCs must accept pseudonymous token holders on cap tables
“Not only will VCs have to get comfortable having other folks on the cap table who are, let's say, individual investors, they'll have to get comfortable with, like, a bunch of random strangers on the internet who have just bought into the token. Who are totally…”
Ohanian: Reddit is a proof of concept for Web3
“In many ways, I think Reddit will be looked at as a kind of proof of concept for a lot of the stuff that Web Three is just gonna run away with in the next few years.”
Ohanian: DAO participation will be commonplace within five years
“I think everyone in five years will participate in a DAO. They won't know it necessarily. I don't think that branding is, is whack. But they won't care. Right. User experience triumphs over everything. So yeah, I think it will be pretty commonplace. Not, maybe…”
Ohanian: People will value online pseudonyms over real names within five years
“In five years, agree with the statement that a famous VC asked me like 10 years ago, what's something that you believe that the rest of the world were? And I told him that people will care more or do care more and will care more about their online identity tha…”
Ohanian: Reddit grew yearly for five years despite zero product investment
“Like, Reddit for five years between, I left in 2010, I came back in early, you know, late 14 as exec chair, had Almost no investment by con and asked in the product. The product didn't improve for half a decade, barely stayed online. Okay. There's no business …”
Ohanian: An index of global Y Combinator startups will perform phenomenally
“Will YC still be successful for the next 10 years? Yes. I think as they expand the sectors and geographies, YC, I think globally is one of the most no brainer investments you can make in early stage investing. If you just invested in an index fund of all of th…”
Ohanian: Most VC firms operate devoid of software
“All these VCs, we all talk about investing in startups, disrupting antiquated industries using software. That's what we love investing in. We do that all day long. Yet, most venture capital firms are run devoid of software.”
Ohanian: The Serial podcast team was dismissive of their Reddit community
“And I remember reaching out to the team there saying, hey, you all should really engage with this community. Like, this, whether you know it or not, is the most valuable part of your podcast. No offense. And to say that they were dismissive was an understateme…”
Ohanian: Early Y Combinator was dismissed and unsophisticated about Silicon Valley
“The first few years of YC were very janky. It was seen as, I think most people were quite dismissive of it, and frankly, PG and Jessica were not that sophisticated when it came to Silicon Valley VC, because they were based in Boston.”
Ohanian: Profile picture is the atomic unit of online identity
“Your most basic, the atomic, most basic atomic unit of identity online is your profile picture.”
Ohanian: Y Combinator originally funded founders with $6,000 each
“He announces Y Combinator and says, hey, I think random college kids when given 6000 dollars per founder, that's how much it was, spending an entire summer just building, like writing code, talking to customers, can one day build billion dollar businesses.”