why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sora will shrink six-week agency video productions to under one week
“This is very disruptive to us because it essentially makes our six to eight week timeline down to what, like a week or less once you're able to kind of tweak and the quality gets better, which it will over the next three to six months.”
Opinion
Brown: Sora is not the best AI video model right now
“Sora's not the best video model right now, so that's why it's not interesting”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nixon: Sora 2 Will Create Multi-Millionaires in the Coming Weeks
“There's going to be millionaires, many, many millionaires minted, multi-millionaires over the next few weeks with messing around with Sora too.”
Opinion
Pozel: Sora has looser policy guidelines and better photorealism than ChatGPT
“Another really cool thing is I think Sora is better at it's, it has less strict policy guidelines and it's better at photo, photo realism. I don't actually understand why that's the case considering they probably use the same underlying models, but I think tha…”
Prediction Held up
Multi-step AI video editing workflows will soon be baked into Sora
“I do think that, like, for everything I laid out, it's important for now, but it's gonna be baked into Sora's kind of suite, where you can edit clips, you can kind of double tap into this, and this entire process is gonna get, like, a lot faster and a lot chea…”
Insight
Veo 3 and Sora cannot generate consistent background music across clips
“The reason you wouldn't want VO three or even Sora to like generate a music track is because it's going to generate a new music track for each clip, because it's only Giving you a piece of the pie.”
Insight
Have Claude evaluate video concepts before generating them in Sora
“But this is the mistake that people make is they just kind of stop there and then they put it into Sora. But what you actually want Claude to do is to evaluate it. So what I usually do is I say, evaluate each of these 10 concepts against our key engagement cri…”