The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Shipper predicts OpenAI and Anthropic launch agent app stores within a year
“And I bet you within a year the opening eyes in the anthropics of the world will have app stores for apps that are built specifically to be used inside of these services. Maybe even cursor too. I don't have any insight on any of this.”
Dan Shipper Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 29:06 GPT 5.6 SOL IS HERE! How to use it.
Prediction Held up
Isenberg predicts Cursor will eventually ship built-in stock agents
“In the future, you would think that a lot of these like agents, so to speak, would come like stock with cursor.”
Greg Isenberg Sep 2, 2025 ▶ 11:34 Cursor AI Agents Work Like 10 Developers (Cursor VP Live Demo)
Assertion Supported
Robinson: Linear uses Cursor agents to enforce a zero-bug policy
“They have a zero bug policy and they use cursor. If you look, this is inside of linear. Let's see if I can make this a little bigger. maybe not. Well PM reports a bug. The AI categorizes it. The engineer who's triaging just tells cursor, Hey, investigate this…”
Lee Robinson Sep 2, 2025 ▶ 16:11 Cursor AI Agents Work Like 10 Developers (Cursor VP Live Demo)
Prediction Held up
AI builders like Lovable and Cursor will adopt task-based UIs
“And the lovables and bolts and curses of the world are probably going to introduce a to-do list task-based UI in the future because it just kind of, it makes a lot of sense.”
Greg Isenberg May 21, 2025 ▶ 32:47 ChatGPT Codex is like 10 AI software developers (tutorial for beginners)
Assertion Supported
Choi: Manus AI Generates Project Architecture Without Requiring Boilerplate Templates
“Another cool thing about this is that you don't have to have a Like a project structure as you see on other tools, like where, you know, people say, go clone this, you know, template, you know, this boilerplate code, and you can use that to build your app and …”
Min Choi Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 26:01 Manus AI replaces your AI tech stack? (Full Demo)
Assertion Supported
Choi: Manus AI autonomously browses, researches, plans, and executes beyond coding
“This is a little bit different because it does more than just coding. It actually does the research. It actually goes to the browser, and it actually catches captures the information from there directly, and then it takes all that context into its planning, an…”
Min Choi Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 10:40 Manus AI replaces your AI tech stack? (Full Demo)
Prediction Held up
Cursor will support reading web views by the end of 2025
“My prediction is by the end of the year it will, but Cursor doesn't see your web view, and so you need to give it all of the information that you see, and the more correct information you give it, the better.”
Riley Brown Jan 17, 2025 ▶ 21:45 How to build your AI App with Cursor, Firebase, Vercel (Full Tutorial)
Assertion Supported
Google releases Anti-gravity as direct competitor to AI editor Cursor
“Google has released something called anti-gravity. Anti-gravity is basically their cursor competitor.”
Greg Isenberg Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 26:35 I Tested Gemini 3 as a Designer. It’s Terrifyingly Good.
Assertion Supported
Fernando: Cursor serves DeepSeek via Fireworks API, avoiding China-hosted servers
“One of my favorite apps for coding is actually Cursor. And I asked them, hey, where do you have your DeepSeq model hosted? And they told me they use the Fireworks API. And that's, you know, actually not in China. So that's great. So it's like, okay, cool. That…”
Ray Fernando Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 5:50 DeepSeek R1 - Everything you need to know
Assertion Supported
Greg Isenberg notes Cursor has significantly more online tutorials than Windsurf
“What I will say about Cursor versus Windsurf, there's a lot more tutorials on Cursor, so.”
Greg Isenberg Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 4:29 The Best Vibe Coding Tools in 2026
Assertion Supported
Cursor's YOLO mode runs terminal commands automatically without confirmation
“If you don't have this set up, it'll actually ask you, like, are you sure you want to run this command? Are you sure? And then you have to click yes over and over again. When you do this, it just automatically does it. It's called YOLO mode.”
Riley Brown Jan 17, 2025 ▶ 6:55 How to build your AI App with Cursor, Firebase, Vercel (Full Tutorial)
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