The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Isenberg: Cal AI is generating $30M a year in revenue
“The popular example right now is like Cal AI. And I've had those guys on the podcast that they're doing thirty million dollars a year.”
Greg Isenberg Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 32:49 He makes $750 a day 'Vibe Coding' Apps (using Replit, ChatGPT, Upwork)
Assertion Supported
Isenberg: Cal AI generates around $3 million per month
“You have the Cal AI guys doing like three million dollars a month and so many people copying it.”
Greg Isenberg Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 8:51 How I Design Apps 10x Better (Free Course)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Wilkinson: Standalone apps like Cal AI will face 100 clones within months
“There's tons of those, but there's going to be like a hundred of them in the app store in like two months. And then Cal AI will not be able to charge what they are.”
Andrew Wilkinson Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 15:44 If I wanted to build $1M+ AI startup in 2025, I'd do this
Assertion Supported
Isenberg: Apps like Cal AI are currently generating $20M ARR
“For example, the one, the flavor right now is Cal AI, you know, apps like that. Like those companies are doing like twenty million dollars ARR on, on downloading an app.”
Greg Isenberg Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 13:43 If I wanted to build $1M+ AI startup in 2025, I'd do this
Assertion Supported
Cal AI currently generates $50 million in annual recurring revenue
“Cal AI, which does fifty million in ARR”
Greg Isenberg May 18, 2026 ▶ 50:06 9 biggest startup ideas right now (AI, B2C, mobile etc)
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