why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Shipper predicts OpenAI and Anthropic launch agent app stores within a year
“And I bet you within a year the opening eyes in the anthropics of the world will have app stores for apps that are built specifically to be used inside of these services. Maybe even cursor too. I don't have any insight on any of this.”
Assertion Supported
US government letter forced Anthropic to shut down Claude Fable 5
“Then Friday at five 21 PM, the US government sent Anthropic a letter. And by Friday night, the model was gone. Disabled.”
Assertion Contradicted
Liu: OpenAI and Anthropic have over $80 billion in combined revenue
“Take opening Ionanthropic alone, right? Let's just say they have a combined revenue probably of like eighty million plus, right? Or eighty billion, sorry, plus right now up from like basically zero a few years ago.”
Assertion Supported
Moritz Kremb: OpenAI permits OpenClaw OAuth connections while Anthropic officially bans them
“Because OpenAI has stated that they're okay with it. So for them, it's definitely fine to use this OAuth method with Anthropic. It's kind of a gray area a bit. I think officially in their terms of service, it says you're not allowed to do that.”
Assertion Supported
Moritz Kremb: Anthropic is banning users for connecting OpenClaw via OAuth
“And some people have been getting banned over it. So I do recommend that if you, if you're scared about your account getting banned, just create a new one, create a new account and put the 20 dollar plan on that.”
Assertion Contradicted
Shipper: OpenAI and Anthropic do not really offer fine-tuning anymore
“In that case, like, you have to use open-source models, because none of the major model companies, or at least OpenAnthropic, don't really do fine-tuning anymore.”
Assertion Partly supported
Brown: GPT-5.5 API Costs 20% More Than Claude Opus 4.7
“And then it's also 20% more expensive than Opus 4.7.”
Assertion Partly supported
Anthropic used Remotion to generate early product launch videos
“Anthropic did this when they first started doing their product launches. They were just launching them With ReMotion videos.”
Assertion Supported
Gaskill: Anthropic built MCP as a universal tool translator
“Anthropic built MCP to basically sit as this translator in between your tools, so that Claude can still just speak English, and your tools can just speak their languages, and this MCP speaks every language, and then just translates your calls from your agent t…”
Assertion Supported
Altman announced GPT-5.3 Codex 18 minutes after Anthropic released Opus 4.6
“Opus four, six came out and then Sam Altman put together a quick tweet. I want to say like maybe 18 minutes later announcing GPT five, three codex”
Assertion Supported
Isenberg: OpenAI Adopted Anthropic's Agent Skills Standard for Codex
“So what's really cool is they're just following the agent skills IO standard, the one by Anthropic.”