The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ohanian: 90% of gamers will only play games that pay them
“In five years, no one, 90% of people will not play a game unless they are being properly valued for that time.”
Alexis Ohanian Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 1:17:56 The Unlimited Potential of Web3 with Alexis Ohanian | Where It Happens
Opinion
Schiffman: Y Combinator Is Evil and Has Ruined Startups
“I also think that Y Combinator is, is evil and has ruined startups. I think it's turned it into this absolute slop.”
Avi Schiffman Dec 30, 2024 ▶ 3:51 "Y Combinator Is Overrated" - Inside the brain of this 22-Year-Old who built Multiple Viral Products
Opinion
Lacy: Chairman Me failed due to women's internalized misogyny
“Do you know why that company failed? Because every day I had to do battle with women's internalized misogyny. And it was like, I was falling into a pit wrestling with Gandalf. Like it was, I couldn't do it. And that was ultimately why the company failed becaus…”
Sarah Lacy Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 3:18 2 $1M+ EdTech Startups you can launch tomorrow
Opinion
Sharma: The Honest Company's website manager should be fired
“Whoever runs the honest company site, like they should be fired and unemployable in my opinion.”
Nik Sharma Apr 20, 2023 ▶ 14:29 The Secret Strategies of Top DTC Brands with Nik Sharma
Opinion
Lavingia: People do not enjoy making art without money or fame
“They won't be poets, because AI will show people that that's all kind of a BS thing that we just did at a period of time, and, like, people actually don't like making art and poems if there is no monetary or fame attached to it.”
Sahil Lavingia Jan 13, 2023 ▶ 55:29 Sahil Lavingia Gets Radically Honest
Opinion
Calacanis: VCs paid high legal fees specifically to dump tokens
“You set up these structures, you paid all this legal money because you knew you were going to dump. You knew you were going to clear these positions and you knew it was going to be lucrative. That's why you went through the expense instead of just raising mone…”
Jason Calacanis Jul 28, 2022 ▶ 10:33 How To Pick Startup Winners With Jason Calacanis
Opinion
Pompliano: Evidence for human-driven climate change is not compelling
“It is obvious temperatures are changing. Things are in some cases getting better, in some cases getting worse, but the evidence of human driven change is not nearly as compelling as many people think.”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 9, 2023 ▶ 1:19 How To Build A Media Business With Anthony Pompliano
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