Dave Friedberg (Founder and CEO of The Production Board) discusses his investment philosophy regarding climate change and planetary abundance.
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2099
Friedberg: Cellular agriculture will replace all animal agriculture this century
“There's a lot of engineering stuff we got to get over to make it work at scale, which there's about a 150 companies doing today, but they're going to succeed. And as a result, we're going to be able to replace all of animal agriculture this century.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Terrestrial nucleosynthesis could become an industrial process within 150 years
“When you combine the unleashed energy potential of plasma fusion systems with the theoretical laboratory scale potential of nuclear synthesis that we see in labs today, And you fast forward a 150 years. I think it's theoretically feasible on a first principles…”
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: Most commercial wine from Gallo and Constellation contains added flavorings
“In fact, people don't realize this, but most of the commercial wine you buy today is actually flavored. It's not just the grapes. So everyone from Constellation Brands to Gallo, they take grapes, they turn it into ethanol and water and flavor, and then they ad…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Beverage market will expand from 100 brands to 100,000 brands
“I don't think that there is, you know, like maybe there's a hundred brands that make up 99% of beverage sales in any category today.
I think in the future, hopefully it's a 100,000 brands
and, you know, any individual can find a perfect brand for them.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2122
Friedberg: Earth will deplete its phosphorus reserves in about 100 years
“We're gonna run out of phosphorus in about a hundred years. That's how much we're mining out of the ground, and how little there is left.”
Opinion
Friedberg: Technology can reverse environmental crises that threaten human extinction
“We really, if we did nothing, you know, we would likely wipe out our species and all other species of life on this earth, or maybe there would be a very hard, ugly reset that would take place over the centuries and millennia ahead. But fortunately, we have inc…”