why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chopra: Roles requiring trust will rise in value because AI avoids jail
“Because someone is going to pay you a million dollars, and at least for next 10 years, that trust can only be built by humans, because you can't jail an AI, but you definitely can jail a person. So a lot of these things which require this human trust, for lack…”
Assertion Contradicted
Chopra: Most Top 100 Tech Founders Never Worked Anywhere Else
“In fact, interestingly, I think if you take like a top 10 tech companies, top hundred, more likely than not, people would not have worked anywhere else.”
Assertion Supported
Chopra: Historical data shows index funds beat real estate property returns
“Also the data shows that an index fund like a Nifty would beat property you know, historically also, even if you see right from our parents age also, you know, if you had invested in stocks versus property, it would beat.”
Assertion Supported
Chopra: Academic research shows actively managed funds underperform index funds
“Almost all academic research says that you know, actively managed funds return even worse than index funds.”
Assertion Supported
Chopra: The median venture capital fund underperforms index funds
“And even if, when it comes to VC funds, I think the median VC funds returns worse than index funds. That's what research has showed.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chopra: Wingify's revenue growth strongly correlated with platform A/B test volume
“For example, in our case, we built an A-B testing tool and we knew very clearly that the number of A-B tests that are on our platform are highly correlated with our revenue growth.”
Assertion Supported
Chopra: Wingify's annual recurring revenue is around $25 million
“At what point in Wengifire currently Wengifire ARR would be twenty-five million dollars, right? Yeah, in that range.”
Assertion Contradicted
Chopra: The median published book sells only 10 to 20 copies
“I was reading, I think a median book is sold 10 or 20 copies.”