why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Garg: Donald Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize by 2026
“And I think I'm, I have this now conviction, That he'll get the peace prize either in 2025 or 26.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2034
Garg: US Dollar will lose reserve currency status by 2034
“So by 2034, that's the timeline I have. Dollar will no longer be a reserve currency.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: The Federal Reserve may not exist by 2034
“We may not have Fed, by the way, in 2034.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: Tesla could reach a $30 trillion market cap in 10 years
“It's a possibility it can become a 30 trillion dollar.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: Zomato can reach a $300B to $500B market cap
“Swiggy may exist, but Swiggy may be a, again, a very large company, a fifty, hundred billion dollar company, but Zomato can be a 304 105 hundred billion dollar company.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: Gold and Bitcoin will rise significantly over next decade
“So you will see gold and Bitcoin going up significantly, and they are from here also. Yeah, they have been going up and over the, over 10 years, of course, they will.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Garg: China's energy output will be 4x the US by 2030
“It will by 20 30 be, I think, three and a half, four times of US, right? The energy production.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2035
Garg: Consumer tech companies will reach India's top five by market cap
“I have this very simple top-down view that in 10 years in India, like in other geographies, they will be tech company tech companies, consumer tech companies in the top five.”
Prediction Held up
Garg: Zomato will steal market share when Swiggy raises money this year
“They will have to go this year to raise money. And whenever that happens, Zomato will again take market share away.”