why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Brien: Saronic's trajectory could deter China from invading Taiwan
“They're, you know, gonna make the South China Sea a hellscape and make China now wanna cross that that, that, that ocean and keep Taiwan safe if they keep going on the path they're doing”
Assertion Supported
O'Brien: Foreign actors cut about 11 subsea cables in the past year
“I think in the last year about 11 cables have been cut by foreign actors”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Brien: A Billion-Dollar Company Will Emerge in Marine Geoengineering
“I think there is going to be, like, a billion-dollar company built in, like marine geoengineering of some description.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Brien: Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg are using TRT to get jacked
“Look at Bezos and Zuckerberg. They're getting jacked. Like they're doing TRT.”
Assertion Supported
O'Brien: The global ocean economy represents $3 trillion in annual spend
“The ocean economy right now is like already massive. It's not like, you know, the future space economy is going to be massive. Like the ocean economy is massive. It's like three trillion dollars in like annual spend in different ways, right?”
Opinion
O'Brien: Ancient software dominates ocean tech across shipping, defense, and fisheries
“It's just like, it's the same old, like stagnant incumbents, large scale incumbents offering solutions that, you know, are rolling on like ancient software. And there's just like very little innovation going on there.”
Insight
O'Brien: Traits of conspiracy theorists mirror those of great founders
“A lot of the traits of, like, conspiracy theorists are, like, those of, like, a, like, a great, like founder.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Brien: AI companies will soon fund subsea internet infrastructure buildouts
“And now you're seeing a transition to the build art being coming from Fang, from like big tech and soon I think it'll be like the AI companies.”
Assertion Contradicted
O'Brien: Seven of Top 10 Most Valuable Companies Have Hardware Components
“The top 10 most valuable country companies in the world right now. It's like seven out of 10 of them have like a hardware, like an extreme, like hardware component, right? Like the biggest companies being built today are hardware companies.”
Assertion Supported
O'Brien: Wildtype's cultivated salmon has no heavy metals, microplastics, or parasites
“They're still going, undergoing FDA approval, but like, yeah, no, none of these nasty heavy metals or microplastics in them. You know, it's reducing pressure on fish stocks. You know, this is good stuff. It doesn't have any of the nasty like parasites that you…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Brien: Hundreds of ocean shipwrecks contain over $1B in gold and artifacts
“There is actually like, you know, hundreds of wrecks out there in the ocean today that potentially have, like, more than a billion dollars on them, right? Like, gold bullions that, like, the Spanish were bringing back from their conquests”
Assertion Partly supported
O'Brien: Three billion people rely on oceans for primary food source
“Three billion people rely on it as their primary source of food, a billion as their primary source of income.”
Assertion Supported
O'Brien: Seagrass captures carbon 35x faster than rainforests
“It is 35 times better than rainforest at removing carbon. It supports about it holds about 20% of the carbon in the ocean, supports about a quarter of the world's most critically important fish stocks, and it's called seagrass. It's basically just grass in the…”
Disclosure
O'Brien: Ulysses Generated $1M First-Year Revenue with Five-Person Team
“So, you know, in our first year we did a million dollars in, in revenue, just kind of like, you know, first, first year, five person team based here in San Francisco.”
Assertion Partly supported
O'Brien: Only about 600 active subsea telecommunication cables exist globally
“Like as in like, there, there's like an insane amount of data that goes over them, but there's only about like 600 active.”
Opinion
O'Brien: Steve Irwin is my role model over Steve Jobs
“Steve, I think is like, and it's so funny, you know, people say Steve on a podcast, and the tech, it's like Steve Jobs. It's like, for me, it's like Steve Irwin.”