The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steph Smith: Socialization and Strava-like features will emerge for CGMs
“I think there should be a Strava for CGMs. Now that more people are using it, even during just that trial period of a month of learning, like, I think being able to kind of socialize what you're learning, but also compete in a way that's what Strava is. Like, …”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 32:15 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: Hard kombucha will take off nationally in 3 to 5 years
“And I think it's just, it's going to take off. And so someone in like Wyoming, go, go start a hard kombucha brand. I think you're going to kill it in, you know, the next three to five years.”
Steph Smith Aug 12, 2021 ▶ 10:32 Why You Need a Chief Automation Officer | My First Million #208 with Steph Smith
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