The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 19 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Liemandt: Trilogy cohorts were told to bet a month's salary on roulette
“At the end of our trilogy university, a hundred days, you know, if enough of the teams that hit their goals, we would take everybody to Vegas and then we would get everybody around a roulette wheel. And we'd say, you have to bet one month's salary. On the numb…”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 14:14 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Supported
Liemandt: Alpha School requires second graders to run a 5K
“Our second graders gotta run a five K. Our eighth graders have to do a tough mudder, or they also all have to cross the finish line at the same time.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 17:56 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Alpha School outpaces 100k-student district in perfect STAAR scores
“And, you know, we have a building with a few hundred people in Austin, Who get more hundreds on the Texas car than a school district of a 100,000.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 22:51 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: 46% of Alpha School students prefer school over vacation
“Four weeks ago when we surveyed all our kids, 46% of our students said, I would rather go to school than go on vacation.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 31:53 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2046
Liemandt: In 20 years, 90% of parents will still use physical schools
“In 20 years, parents are going to drop their kids off at a building. 90% of parents, you have homeschool little stuff, but it's a niche. Nine percent of parents are going to drop their kids off at a building. And in that building are other kids and adults”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 43:54 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Twelve billionaire philanthropists warned Liemandt not to invest in education
“Before I did this and put my billion dollars in, I talked to a dozen billionaires who'd all spent over, had all spent over a billion dollars on education. And to a person, every single person said, don't do it.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 45:25 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: Software buyout firm saw $20B pipeline of distressed SaaS deals
“I saw twenty billion dollars of pipeline companies that were, they were looking at about splitting the cash flows buying for a dollar.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 49:51 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Contradicted
Liemandt: Trilogy Was the First AI Product to Sell $1 Billion
“And then we built Trilogy and our claim to fame actually in the nineties, it was the first AI product to sell a billion dollars.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 2:02 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: Trilogy Won 70% of College Recruiting Battles Against Microsoft
“Microsoft would win 90% of college graduates back then. And we against them won 70%.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 8:30 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Contradicted
Liemandt: Trilogy ran an exchange program with the Navy SEALs
“We actually trilogy university, you know, there's Harvard business, you know, case studies on it and you can read about it, but we literally had a swap program with the Navy seals. Literally the Navy seals are like, okay, you know, we're going to send a couple…”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 15:03 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Liemandt: Alpha will launch a free-to-learn educational game this year
“We have some of the world's best video game developers, right? Building and they're spending two years building a video game on this, these concepts. And it will be free to learn, you know, think free to play free to learn for five hundred million kids and it'…”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 44:51 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Open · timeframe May 2029
Alpha high schooler will publish as lead researcher in Nature journal
“We have a student who's going to be published in nature. She will be the first school student as a lead researcher published in nature.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 58:10 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: Trilogy was the most expensive software in the 1990s
“We were the most expensive software you could buy in the nineties because we also had super high pricing because we're like, they're not going to buy from us unless they have to.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 5:18 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Liemandt: Bill Gates Flew to Austin Over Trilogy's Recruiting Wins
“Bill Gates literally flew down to Austin. To figure out why we were getting the best graduates.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 8:36 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: Ballmer, Gates, and Maples Called Shared Job Candidates
“Whether it was Balmer Gates or Mike Maple, the other third in the office of the president. Those three would call all our candidates, and we would just continue to fight, and it would escalate, right?”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 9:54 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Partly supported
Liemandt: Trilogy Has Acquired Hundreds of Companies Since Dot-Com Bust
“So we bought hundreds of companies since then, but it was nothing. This strategy was just like, oh, wow, some companies are really cheap. Why don't we buy some?”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 51:00 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Supported
Liemandt: Trilogy took 3.5 years before winning SGI, HP, AT&T, and IBM
“It took three and a half years to actually build the product and convince anybody to buy it. But then as soon as they started to buy, Silicon Graphics bought it, Hewlett Packard bought it, AT&T, IBM, right?”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 7:16 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Supported
Liemandt: US private school market is roughly $100 billion
“Private school market in the US is about a hundred billion dollars.”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 40:27 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: Dot-Com Crash Wiped Out 50% of Trilogy's Customers
“After the dot-com meltdown 50% of our cash Customers went out of business”
Joe Liemandt May 27, 2026 ▶ 50:17 The 50 richest families in America are betting on this trend
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