why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wilson: MrBeast admitted wagering tens of thousands on crypto gambling
“I was talking with him and he was like, yeah, I can't really gamble because I'm kind of a gambling addict. And he talked about like I don't want to say the name of the game, highly addicting crypto gambling site that he would be wagering like tens of thousands…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Crypto hype is peaking and will face a major disillusionment phase
“I think we're right at like the top of the initial hype cycle for crypto. We're going to hit like a big Like disillusionment period where a lot of people are going to leave the space and then it will find its footing and find some legitimate uses a few years f…”
Assertion Supported
Wilson: Blitzkrieg was an American invention, not internal Nazi doctrine
“Blitzkrieg was sort of a marketing stunt. It wasn't anything that the Nazis talked about internally. It's really something like an American invention to explain German success.”
Assertion Supported
Ben Wilson: CEOs Have Higher Addiction Rates Than General Population
“People who achieve a lot, CEOs you'd think that like they don't have problems with substance abuse, right? Cause these are highly functioning people, but it actually turns out that they have higher rates of addiction and substance abuse than the general popula…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wilson: Remote workers will increasingly congregate around niche hobby communities
“And I think as people can now choose where they want to live, they're going to start congregating more in groups of like, I don't know, group around their hobbies or like vegans, how they want to eat. I don't know, like random niches.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Startup and autonomous cities will be the next big crypto trend
“The other thing that I'm like super interested in, and I think is going to be a big space for the crypto type people. Going forward is idea of like startup cities, autonomous cities like kind of building a new way of living from the ground up”
Assertion Partly supported
Ross Ulbricht was never charged with or convicted of murder-for-hire
“Yeah, so to be clear, he was never convicted of this. In fact, he was never even charged with putting out these hits.”
Assertion Partly supported
DEA estimated Silk Road processed $1.2 billion in illegal drug transactions
“This is like DEA estimates. So they say 1.2 billion dollars worth of illegal drug transit transactions took place.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ben Wilson: MrBeast calls interesting people during night walks
“At night he goes for walks and he just calls people who he thinks are interesting. And he tries to like download their brains and learn anything that he can.”
Assertion Contradicted
60 federal agents infiltrated Silk Road with fake transactions
“That's 60 federal agents who were on there doing like fake sales or fake buys and bust.”