The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Srinivasan: Crypto will replace Yale Law, Columbia Journalism, and Kennedy School
“Crypto is not just, you know, the next wall street. It's also the next Silicon Valley because decentralized social networks and so on are built there, but even less, obviously it's the next Yale law and Columbia school of journalism and Kennedy school of gover…”
Srinivasan: Very few pre-internet institutions will survive the internet
“I think very few institutions that predated the internet will survive the internet in the fullness of time.”
Balaji: On-chain skill badges will destroy the college diploma
“Now, why that kind of thing is important is it totally destroys the concept of a college diploma. The reason being college diploma is a very, very coarse grained you know, kind of illustration of somebody's skills.”
Balaji: Cryptography will displace corporate media as the font of truth
“And that is actually a very powerful thing where we start to actually displace a corporate media corporation as the font of truth with cryptography instead.”
Balaji: All finance will become crypto
“With CS and stats, by the way, you can understand finance, because it's crypto, or it'll all become crypto.”
Balaji: Crypto and ENS names will be third top communication channel in 5-10 years
“I do think that within five to 10 years, in addition to email and text message, your ENS name will become probably the, ENS name, or let's say crypto name, will become the third most popular communication channel.”
Balaji: Tech is roughly 30 points more diverse than media outlets
“And I put up a prize and he actually went and did this analysis and it shows that actually tech is like 30 points more diverse than the media outlets that constantly give tech shit about this.”
Balaji: Most value will be created online and printed via robotics this decade
“What I think is going to happen is most of the value will be created online
and you'll print it out by essentially invoking robotics. And I think that's the next, you know, this decade, we're going to see more and more of that.”
Balaji: 2020s will bring startup cities and 2030s network states
“I think it's a 20 year project, and you know, basically my one liner on this is, 2000 were the tech companies, 20 tens, crypto protocols, 20 twenties, startup cities, 20 thirties, network states. Okay. So, company, protocol, city, state. I think that's where w…”
Balaji: Startup Cities in 2021 Are the Analog of 2010 Bitcoin
“Obviously when I said 2000, tech companies, 20 tens, crypto protocols, 20, 20 startup cities, 20 thirties, network states, that's sort of when that exponential starts, right? What is the analog of Bitcoin in 2010? It's startup cities in 2021.”
Balaji: Negative media coverage of tech started in 2013
“All the negative articles on tech and tech bros, you can date it exactly to, like, 2013.”
Balaji: International relocation and digital nomadism will be massive industries
“I think an underappreciated area is going to be relocation. Permanent international migration. You know, this is why I did teleport a while back. Digital nomadism is going to be huge.”