The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

3statements match

2resolved → 0open claims → 0supported → 2contradicted →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Puri: Thrasio will go public at a $10B valuation

“They're going to go public at a ten billion dollar valuation.”

Shaan Puri Sep 17, 2021 ▶ 37:21 12 Startups Where Stock Grants Can Make You a Millionaire | My First Million #220

Opinion

Thrasio and other Amazon FBA aggregators are effectively dead

“So Thrasio is basically dead. It's, I don't know exactly what the stage is. Is it? It's either a fire sale, bankruptcy, but it's dead. And so are all of the aggregators.”

Shaan Puri Oct 17, 2023 ▶ 31:16 Our 2020 Predictions For OpenAI Came True… Here’s What’s Next (#508)

Assertion Contradicted

Thrasio grew from zero to a $1B valuation in 12 months

“I think they went from zero to a billion dollars in market cap or a valuation in like 12 months.”

Sam Parr Oct 17, 2023 ▶ 27:36 Our 2020 Predictions For OpenAI Came True… Here’s What’s Next (#508)

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