The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030

Sam Parr: OpenAI will be the biggest company on Earth within five years

“Because how is this company not going to take over the world and be the biggest company on earth?”

Sam Parr Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 8:52 The App That’ll Be Bigger Than TikTok

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030

Lemkin: OpenAI will be worth one trillion dollars

“OpenAI will be worth a trillion.”

Jason Lemkin Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 35:10 How the smartest founders are winning in AI

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The Ledger

Turn any episode into a week of clips.