why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shaan Puri: OnlyFans and Instagram models will be displaced by AI first
“Actually, AI is coming for like the Instagram thoughts. And like, that's who's going first is, is like only fans and Instagram models.”
Opinion
Amouranth: OnlyFans is far more lucrative than Patreon and competitors
“OnlyFans is, like, way more lucrative than every other platform, because even the OnlyFans competitors are either, like, too new, or in Patreon's case, like, driving away the girls, so.”
Disclosure
Amouranth Earned Over $30 Million in Revenue Exclusively on OnlyFans
“Yeah, that's just on OnlyFans though, but yes.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: OnlyFans does billions in revenue and is bigger than Twitch
“What's the name of a fast-growing company that does billions of dollars and serves creators all around the world? It's bigger than Twitch. They provide private photos and videos to their fans. If you subscribe, you might be considered only their fan. That's ri…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Puri: Adult products can reach $100M copying MVMT's influencer model
“And, you know, I think if you did this with Instagram models and old defense, you could basically just copy the What's that watch brand MVMT? You can copy the movement, movement watches brand model and try to, you know, they went to a hundred million in sales …”
Disclosure
Amouranth details rigorous weekly production and livestreaming schedule
“Pretty much two days out of the week are like 12 hour photoshoot days across all my different types of content. And then the rest of the time I'll just stream on Twitch.”
Disclosure
Amouranth Plans to Scale Her Agency to 100 Creators in Three Years
“The dream would be to not grind as much for the next, like, year to three years, and just kind of stream part-time, like, a few days a week maybe, and then just have my empire for real work have grown so much that maybe we have, like, 50 to a hundred OF creato…”
Insight
Amouranth: Hardly any OnlyFans subscribers stay for a full year
“We don't really look at the whole year because people's lives, you know, some people get girlfriends, some people will just like not have a job anymore, so it's hard to do like a year because hardly anyone stays on for a year, a very small percentage.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: OnlyFans receives 250 million monthly visitors
“It's two hundred fifty million. You're off by 10 X, an order of magnitude. Is it really? That was going to be my other unsexy business was actually the business of sexy which was like, I had no idea they get two hundred fifty million visitors per month.”