The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Shaan Puri: The AI email assistant market will be an absolute bloodbath
“I do feel undoubtedly that email inboxes are going to start to have AI in them and the AI is going to help you process, categorize summarize your emails in a way and respond, help you with the responses. The problem is Do I really believe that you are going to…”
Shaan Puri Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:16:49 6 College Students Pitch Us Their Startups | MFM Shark Tank
Prediction Held up
Wilkinson: Major AI competitors to GPT-3 will emerge within six months
“There's going to be a lot of. A lot of other players in that space coming out over the next probably three to six months. And that it will be, there's going to be an ecosystem of offering similar to AWS and Azure and Google cloud. I think it'll be the same thi…”
Andrew Wilkinson Dec 29, 2022 ▶ 1:06:44 The 2022 Milly Awards (#401)
Assertion Supported
Saylor: MicroStrategy's 2,000-person core software business generates $75M annually
“Well, all 2000 people doing a 100,000 things right perfectly for the entire year competing against Microsoft that has more money than God, they can generate seventy five million a year.”
Michael Saylor Mar 17, 2021 ▶ 47:05 MFM #161: Why Michael Saylor Believes Bitcoin is Hope
Assertion Supported
Saylor: Bitcoin Hit $1T Faster Than Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, or Google
“It took Google 22 years to get to a trillion. It took Amazon 24 years to get to a trillion. It took Apple 42 years to get to a trillion. It took Microsoft 44 years to get to a trillion. It took Bitcoin 12”
Michael Saylor Mar 17, 2021 ▶ 58:20 MFM #161: Why Michael Saylor Believes Bitcoin is Hope
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: 165 University Avenue housed Logitech, PayPal, Google, and Danger
“What you're looking at is one six five University Avenue, also known as the Lucky Office, also known as the Karma Building. You might recognize a little better here when you see one of the companies that was started here. So Google was started here. Before Goo…”
Shaan Puri Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 1:03 The Crazy Story of Google’s 7 Angel investors
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