The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Marini: Grindr's $2B IPO generated a 9x return on $200M equity
“We took Grindr public, and we'll talk about how we got there, but we took it public for two billion on the New York Stock Exchange two and a half years after we bought the company. And as I mentioned, as part of the deal structure that earned out, the first tw…”
Rick Marini Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 15:03 How two straight guys bought Grindr and made $2B
Assertion Partly supported
Bonforte: Grindr faced privacy lawsuits from 13 state attorneys general upon acquisition
“We were being sued at that point by 13 attorney generals in the U.S. Over privacy and data leakage, something the company had not done, but it was everyone believed the company had done.”
Jeff Bonforte Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 19:26 How two straight guys bought Grindr and made $2B
Assertion Partly supported
Marini: Grindr revenue doubled from $100M to $200M before its $2B IPO
“And in two and a half years, we took Grindr from a hundred million of revenue to two hundred million of revenue when we took it public.”
Rick Marini Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 40:36 How two straight guys bought Grindr and made $2B
Assertion Supported
Marini: Investors bought Grindr for $600M at 12x to 13x EBITDA
“So we bought it for about six hundred million. It was doing less than fifty million, about forty five million of EBITDA when we bought the company, so, you know, call that kind of 12, 13 X EBITDA, and the market was probably trading at more like 20, the public…”
Rick Marini Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 8:23 How two straight guys bought Grindr and made $2B
Assertion Supported
Bonforte: Grindr was a rare retroactive CFIUS divestiture of a foreign buyer
“And this was one of the only cases ever where CFIUS had actually retroactively unwound a deal. CFIUS had denied deals with foreign buyers, but they had never, what they're trying to do with TikTok today over the years is TikTok would be the second one after Gr…”
Jeff Bonforte Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 9:33 How two straight guys bought Grindr and made $2B
Assertion Supported
Marini: Grindr founder Joel Simkhai sold for $260M owning 90% equity
“Joel sold it for, I wanna say, two hundred and sixty million. So it was a great sale and he owned 90% of the company.”
Rick Marini Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 2:08 How two straight guys bought Grindr and made $2B
Assertion Contradicted
Bonforte: CFIUS grants foreign owners one year for forced U.S. divestitures
“They give the company one year. You have one year to sell to a U.S. Ownership group. And if you do not, the government will take control of the business.”
Jeff Bonforte Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 3:51 How two straight guys bought Grindr and made $2B
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