why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Marini: Grindr's $2B IPO generated a 9x return on $200M equity
“We took Grindr public, and we'll talk about how we got there, but we took it public for two billion on the New York Stock Exchange two and a half years after we bought the company. And as I mentioned, as part of the deal structure that earned out, the first tw…”
Assertion Partly supported
Bonforte: Grindr faced privacy lawsuits from 13 state attorneys general upon acquisition
“We were being sued at that point by 13 attorney generals in the U.S. Over privacy and data leakage, something the company had not done, but it was everyone believed the company had done.”
Assertion Partly supported
Marini: Grindr revenue doubled from $100M to $200M before its $2B IPO
“And in two and a half years, we took Grindr from a hundred million of revenue to two hundred million of revenue when we took it public.”
Assertion Supported
Marini: Investors bought Grindr for $600M at 12x to 13x EBITDA
“So we bought it for about six hundred million. It was doing less than fifty million, about forty five million of EBITDA when we bought the company, so, you know, call that kind of 12, 13 X EBITDA, and the market was probably trading at more like 20, the public…”
Assertion Supported
Bonforte: Grindr was a rare retroactive CFIUS divestiture of a foreign buyer
“And this was one of the only cases ever where CFIUS had actually retroactively unwound a deal. CFIUS had denied deals with foreign buyers, but they had never, what they're trying to do with TikTok today over the years is TikTok would be the second one after Gr…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bonforte: 70% of Grindr hires under new management were minority or LGBTQ+
“By the time Rick and I left, 70% of the hires from the, in the company were minority hires, basically. We were hiring people from the LGBTQ community, or we were hiring people that were in, in the DEI, which is not something people like to talk about anymore, …”
Disclosure
Marini: The $600M Grindr buyout used $200M equity, $200M debt, $200M earn-out
“So the deal structure, the 600, there was about 200 of equity that went in. And, you know, some of that was our personal money, but most of it was outside money that we raised. There was two hundred million of debt. So Fortress was our debt provider. And then …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Marini: Grindr's forced sale process yielded only three legitimate final bidders
“It came down to three buyers in the end that put in, you know, legitimate bids, and we were lucky enough to partner with the other PE firm and buy it.”
Assertion Supported
Marini: Grindr founder Joel Simkhai sold for $260M owning 90% equity
“Joel sold it for, I wanna say, two hundred and sixty million. So it was a great sale and he owned 90% of the company.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bonforte: CFIUS grants foreign owners one year for forced U.S. divestitures
“They give the company one year. You have one year to sell to a U.S. Ownership group. And if you do not, the government will take control of the business.”