why aren't all 22 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Shaan Puri: The AI email assistant market will be an absolute bloodbath
“I do feel undoubtedly that email inboxes are going to start to have AI in them and the AI is going to help you process, categorize summarize your emails in a way and respond, help you with the responses. The problem is Do I really believe that you are going to…”
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: Foreign spies stole Google machine learning models on USB sticks
“Of course there are people working for China, for Russia, for different countries as foreign agents, and there's actually been like cases of this where guys basically took the, you know, like The machine learning model out on a USB stick out of Google and like…”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Musk attempted a $500M emergency bid to block Google buying DeepMind
“Elon then went to the PayPal co-founder, this guy, Luke Nosek, and tried to quickly like emergency raise, five hundred million dollars to buy DeepMind instead of Google, just to keep it out of the hands of Google. And he fails, he can't pull the deal together …”
Prediction Held up
Wilkinson: Major AI competitors to GPT-3 will emerge within six months
“There's going to be a lot of. A lot of other players in that space coming out over the next probably three to six months. And that it will be, there's going to be an ecosystem of offering similar to AWS and Azure and Google cloud. I think it'll be the same thi…”
Assertion Supported
Ron Conway Secured a $250K Allocation in Google for Brokering VC Deal
“He gets the 250 K. So that's how Ron Conway gets in on this deal.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: David Cheriton made over $1B from early Google shares
“So he, this guy's made, this guy ended up making over a billion dollars just off his Google shares.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Charity: Water Used Real-Time IoT Flow Meters To Drive Fundraising
“He literally installed like little Google donated these like IOT devices, these flow meters so that you can see that the well you helped build, you can go in the app, and you can literally see how much water is flowing through that well right now, and so he di…”
Assertion Supported
Parr: University of Phoenix spent $3B on marketing over five years
“The University of Phoenix in the last five years has spent three billion dollars in marketing. On Google alone, it's estimated that they're spending roughly five million dollars a month. And they receive roughly 70,000 to 80,000 clicks per month off of Google.”
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: Google bought DeepMind for $500M with zero usage
“DeepMind, it was an AI company, got acquired by Google for five hundred million when, you know, no usage yet. It was just Vision and team.”
Assertion Supported
Saylor: Bitcoin Hit $1T Faster Than Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, or Google
“It took Google 22 years to get to a trillion. It took Amazon 24 years to get to a trillion. It took Apple 42 years to get to a trillion. It took Microsoft 44 years to get to a trillion. It took Bitcoin 12”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Buying FAANG stocks outperformed top VC returns over 10 years
“If you had just brought, bought the fang companies, so Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Google in the 10 years it outperformed all VCs or sorry, It outperformed even this sort of top like expected returns of venture capital. So the public market, if you just bought th…”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Google acquired DeepMind for around £400 million
“So they bought it for, I think, four hundred million pounds, so it was like, you know, 500 something million dollars”
Assertion Supported
Jared Smith co-ran Google China with Kai-Fu Lee before joining Qualtrics
“And he had been assigned to go run China for Google. So he was living in Beijing. He was working with Kai-Fu Lee and like running Google China.”
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: Google released an AI tool that builds personalized learning curricula
“Google just released this thing called, like, I forgot what it's called, like, personalized learning, where you can basically tell it what you want to know, and then it just, like, develops this incredibly personalized curriculum for you and feeds you, like, t…”
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: 165 University Avenue housed Logitech, PayPal, Google, and Danger
“What you're looking at is one six five University Avenue, also known as the Lucky Office, also known as the Karma Building. You might recognize a little better here when you see one of the companies that was started here. So Google was started here. Before Goo…”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Jeff Bezos invested $250K early in Google
“Bezos invested 250 K pretty early in Google as well, which is kind of wild.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: David Cheriton invested $100k to $150k in Google's angel round
“He also writes a check in the same round. Again, like a hundred, 150,000 dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Bechtolsheim wrote Google's first $100k check before incorporation
“He writes them a check for a 100,000 dollars and he writes it out to Google Inc. And they're like, Google they're like, Hey we haven't even incorporated the company yet. And he goes, it doesn't matter.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Sergey Brin made an impromptu appearance at a Bay Area hackathon
“During the hackathon, this guy walks in with this cool-looking jacket and, like, disheveled hair like he's been in, like, a cryogenic freezing tube for the last 10 years, and it's Sergey Brin, it's the founder of Google, just showing up at the hackathon, and h…”
Assertion Supported
Cody Ko's 'I'd Cap That' Hit Number One with Zero Marketing
“It was the number one app in the app store. Above like eBay and Google, and it was number one, and I paid zero dollars for marketing.”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Coinbase's Chief Product Officer held a $600M stake at IPO
“This one dude left Google in order to become Coinbase's chief product officer. And when it went public, his stake was worth six hundred million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Balaji: Print media revenue plunged from $65B to $17B post-2008
“After the financial crisis, print media dropped the revenue from like something like sixty five billion down to like seventeen billion while Google and Facebook were just going vertical like this.”