The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 28 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Shaan Puri: The AI email assistant market will be an absolute bloodbath
“I do feel undoubtedly that email inboxes are going to start to have AI in them and the AI is going to help you process, categorize summarize your emails in a way and respond, help you with the responses. The problem is Do I really believe that you are going to…”
Shaan Puri Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:16:49 6 College Students Pitch Us Their Startups | MFM Shark Tank
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: Foreign spies stole Google machine learning models on USB sticks
“Of course there are people working for China, for Russia, for different countries as foreign agents, and there's actually been like cases of this where guys basically took the, you know, like The machine learning model out on a USB stick out of Google and like…”
Shaan Puri Apr 7, 2021 ▶ 23:50 MFM #168 - How to Reverse Engineer Businesses, The Indonesian King of Coal & the Story of Adidas
Assertion Supported
Puri: Musk attempted a $500M emergency bid to block Google buying DeepMind
“Elon then went to the PayPal co-founder, this guy, Luke Nosek, and tried to quickly like emergency raise, five hundred million dollars to buy DeepMind instead of Google, just to keep it out of the hands of Google. And he fails, he can't pull the deal together …”
Shaan Puri Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 45:16 Elon Musk SUES Sam Altman
Assertion Partly supported
YouTube founders sold to Google to avoid copyright infringement bankruptcy
“YouTube was also flooded with pirate content. Because of that, they were getting sued like crazy, and because they were worried that they would go out of business, they sold to Google for, like, a billion and a half dollars.”
Shaan Puri Feb 7, 2024 ▶ 5:27 The Dark Story Behind Pornhub’s $1.5B Business Empire
Prediction Held up
Wilkinson: Major AI competitors to GPT-3 will emerge within six months
“There's going to be a lot of. A lot of other players in that space coming out over the next probably three to six months. And that it will be, there's going to be an ecosystem of offering similar to AWS and Azure and Google cloud. I think it'll be the same thi…”
Andrew Wilkinson Dec 29, 2022 ▶ 1:06:44 The 2022 Milly Awards (#401)
Assertion Partly supported
Foster: Google found hiring managers have no predictive edge over each other
“I remember Google sharing like a lot of their hiring insights where they did a ton of tests around this stuff like this. And I think what they found was that no hiring managers were like, had an edge over any other hiring managers with one exception. And the o…”
Wade Foster Aug 26, 2026 ▶ 42:07 How a $5B founder is using AI (3 tutorials)
Assertion Supported
Ron Conway Secured a $250K Allocation in Google for Brokering VC Deal
“He gets the 250 K. So that's how Ron Conway gets in on this deal.”
Shaan Puri Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 28:13 The Crazy Story of Google’s 7 Angel investors
Assertion Supported
Puri: David Cheriton made over $1B from early Google shares
“So he, this guy's made, this guy ended up making over a billion dollars just off his Google shares.”
Shaan Puri Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 10:09 The Crazy Story of Google’s 7 Angel investors
Assertion Supported
Puri: Charity: Water Used Real-Time IoT Flow Meters To Drive Fundraising
“He literally installed like little Google donated these like IOT devices, these flow meters so that you can see that the well you helped build, you can go in the app, and you can literally see how much water is flowing through that well right now, and so he di…”
Shaan Puri Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 58:14 The GameStop Guy Has Returned… (And Has A New $210M Bet)
Assertion Supported
Parr: University of Phoenix spent $3B on marketing over five years
“The University of Phoenix in the last five years has spent three billion dollars in marketing. On Google alone, it's estimated that they're spending roughly five million dollars a month. And they receive roughly 70,000 to 80,000 clicks per month off of Google.”
Sam Parr Dec 8, 2023 ▶ 52:49 If I Had To Make $1 Billion... Here’s The Business I Would Start
Assertion Partly supported
Puri: UnitedHealth stock outperformed Amazon and Google after Obamacare passed
“Oh, you know, like, as the, as Obamacare kicked in, the stock price went from, like, 24 dollars a share to 400 dollars a share now. And so you know, that was a better investment than Amazon, Google, Netflix, whatever, during the same period of time because the…”
Shaan Puri Jul 9, 2021 ▶ 22:56 How to Build a Unicorn Around the NCAA Reg Changes | My First Million #198
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: Google bought DeepMind for $500M with zero usage
“DeepMind, it was an AI company, got acquired by Google for five hundred million when, you know, no usage yet. It was just Vision and team.”
Shaan Puri May 26, 2021 ▶ 56:36 Billionaire Marc Lore on What He Would Build Today and Future of Ecommerce | My First Million #186
Assertion Supported
Saylor: Bitcoin Hit $1T Faster Than Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, or Google
“It took Google 22 years to get to a trillion. It took Amazon 24 years to get to a trillion. It took Apple 42 years to get to a trillion. It took Microsoft 44 years to get to a trillion. It took Bitcoin 12”
Michael Saylor Mar 17, 2021 ▶ 58:20 MFM #161: Why Michael Saylor Believes Bitcoin is Hope
Assertion Supported
Puri: Buying FAANG stocks outperformed top VC returns over 10 years
“If you had just brought, bought the fang companies, so Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Google in the 10 years it outperformed all VCs or sorry, It outperformed even this sort of top like expected returns of venture capital. So the public market, if you just bought th…”
Shaan Puri Mar 12, 2020 ▶ 46:38 Nicotine Gum, Dating Apps for the Elderly & Vested Shares Tax | My First Million Podcast 03-03-2020
Assertion Supported
Puri: Google acquired DeepMind for around £400 million
“So they bought it for, I think, four hundred million pounds, so it was like, you know, 500 something million dollars”
Shaan Puri Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 18:31 The Most Important Founder You've Never Heard Of
Assertion Partly supported
Puri: Isomorphic Labs raised $600M upon spinning out from DeepMind
“And this company, by the way, their first round of funding was six hundred million dollars to, as they spun it out of Google and DeepMind”
Shaan Puri Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 41:37 The Most Important Founder You've Never Heard Of
Assertion Supported
Jared Smith co-ran Google China with Kai-Fu Lee before joining Qualtrics
“And he had been assigned to go run China for Google. So he was living in Beijing. He was working with Kai-Fu Lee and like running Google China.”
Ryan Smith Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 15:25 The High School Dropout Who Made Billions & Bought An NBA team
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: Google released an AI tool that builds personalized learning curricula
“Google just released this thing called, like, I forgot what it's called, like, personalized learning, where you can basically tell it what you want to know, and then it just, like, develops this incredibly personalized curriculum for you and feeds you, like, t…”
Shaan Puri Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 14:46 The App That’ll Be Bigger Than TikTok
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: 165 University Avenue housed Logitech, PayPal, Google, and Danger
“What you're looking at is one six five University Avenue, also known as the Lucky Office, also known as the Karma Building. You might recognize a little better here when you see one of the companies that was started here. So Google was started here. Before Goo…”
Shaan Puri Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 1:03 The Crazy Story of Google’s 7 Angel investors
Assertion Supported
Puri: Jeff Bezos invested $250K early in Google
“Bezos invested 250 K pretty early in Google as well, which is kind of wild.”
Shaan Puri Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 46:27 The Crazy Story of Google’s 7 Angel investors
Assertion Supported
Puri: David Cheriton invested $100k to $150k in Google's angel round
“He also writes a check in the same round. Again, like a hundred, 150,000 dollars.”
Shaan Puri Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 9:33 The Crazy Story of Google’s 7 Angel investors
Assertion Supported
Bechtolsheim wrote Google's first $100k check before incorporation
“He writes them a check for a 100,000 dollars and he writes it out to Google Inc. And they're like, Google they're like, Hey we haven't even incorporated the company yet. And he goes, it doesn't matter.”
Shaan Puri Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 6:11 The Crazy Story of Google’s 7 Angel investors
Assertion Partly supported
Puri: Google increased Maps API costs 14x to $14 per thousand calls
“So Google increased their Maps API costs, 14 X. So it went from a dollar to 14 dollars per thousand API calls.”
Shaan Puri May 10, 2024 ▶ 20:24 This Gas Station Pizza Business Makes $540M/Yr?!
Assertion Supported
Puri: Sergey Brin made an impromptu appearance at a Bay Area hackathon
“During the hackathon, this guy walks in with this cool-looking jacket and, like, disheveled hair like he's been in, like, a cryogenic freezing tube for the last 10 years, and it's Sergey Brin, it's the founder of Google, just showing up at the hackathon, and h…”
Shaan Puri Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 33:41 Elon Musk SUES Sam Altman
Assertion Supported
Cody Ko's 'I'd Cap That' Hit Number One with Zero Marketing
“It was the number one app in the app store. Above like eBay and Google, and it was number one, and I paid zero dollars for marketing.”
Cody Ko Oct 3, 2023 ▶ 5:06 Cody Ko On Building A YouTube Empire, Partying With Elon & Stand-Up Comedy (#503)
Assertion Supported
Parr: Coinbase's Chief Product Officer held a $600M stake at IPO
“This one dude left Google in order to become Coinbase's chief product officer. And when it went public, his stake was worth six hundred million dollars.”
Sam Parr Jan 4, 2022 ▶ 24:11 Solana Billionaires, MFM Goes Viral on TikTok, Right to Be Forgotten, and More
Assertion Supported
Balaji: Print media revenue plunged from $65B to $17B post-2008
“After the financial crisis, print media dropped the revenue from like something like sixty five billion down to like seventeen billion while Google and Facebook were just going vertical like this.”
Balaji Srinivasan May 5, 2021 ▶ 26:02 Balaji on How to Fix the Media, Cloud Communities & Crypto | MFM #178
Assertion Partly supported
Parr: Kaggle Raised $12M Before Google Acquisition and Hosted 19M Engineers
“There's this thing called Kaggle, Kaggle competitions, where it was a startup that raised twelve million dollars. It was eventually bought by Google. According to their website, they've had nineteen million engineers compete in their competitions.”
Sam Parr Aug 28, 2024 ▶ 11:55 Building A 100+ Year Legacy + Peter Thiel’s Fellowship + Bomb Hiring Questions
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