why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2024
Shaan Puri: Clubhouse will ultimately fail despite its massive hype
“I wrote a thread about Clubhouse, and the thread starts basically saying, you know, everybody seems to think that Clubhouse is the next big thing, and I think it's gonna fail, and here's how I think it's gonna go down.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Parr: Clubhouse Likely Will Not Pan Out
“Clubhouse likely won't pan out, but that was definitely an opportunity to have one.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Marc Andreessen blocked Puri on Twitter over his Clubhouse critique
“But I also got blocked by a bunch of VCs who were in Mark and recent blocks me.”
Opinion
Clubhouse will fail to reach Twitter or Facebook scale
“Andreessen put in a four billion dollar price tag on it, basically betting that it's gonna become like a Twitter, it's gonna become a Facebook or a Snap, and it's not happening. That has, that hasn't happened.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2021
Shaan Puri: Andrew Chen and Marc Andreessen blocked me on Twitter
“So I was surprised when he blocked me, he, him and Mark Andreessen blocked me. So both of whom, you know, followed before and then went straight to block without like, you know, anything in between I'm cool with that.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Shaan Puri: Clubhouse Breakdown Thread Reached 20 Million Readers
“The reason this thread got like, twenty million people to read it, was because I told, I wrote almost like a screenplay.”
Assertion Partly supported
Puri: A16z Invested $100M in Clubhouse at a $4B Peak Valuation
“I think Andreessen invested like a hundred million dollars, I think Andreessen invested a hundred million dollars at a four billion dollar valuation for Clubhouse at its peak, and like since then the chart just shows it going down, down, down”