The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Currier: Consumer software window closed in 2014, producing only ten unicorns
“Between 94 and 2013, it was a fantastic time to start companies in the consumer software space and invest in them from seed or series A. In 2014, the window just closed. You can look at the number of unicorns created in two th from 2014 to today, and it's real…”
James Currier Apr 15, 2025 ▶ 23:42 From making $6/week selling worms to making $110M+
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: ChatGPT holds 85% market share among consumers and prosumers
“I don't think we realized that open, that chat GBT would have 85% market share at the prosumer consumer level.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 31:29 How the smartest founders are winning in AI
Prediction Held up
Puri: AI will soon power a viral personality test or astrology app
“I think that's going to happen very soon. And this, we'll look back at this clip and be like, dude, he called it. John called it that that was going to happen. It has to happen.”
Shaan Puri Sep 19, 2023 ▶ 57:08 Brainstorming +$1M Business Ideas With Soylent's Co-Founder | ft. John Coogan (#496)
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