Prediction certainty 4/5 debate potential 5/5

Currier: Nvidia and big LLM training companies will eventually go to zero

James Currier · From making $6/week selling worms to making $110M+ · Apr 15, 2025 · at 1:09:33

Venture capitalist James Currier discusses defensibility in AI, arguing open-source models running on standard CPUs will eliminate value for hardware and model trainers.

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“So both Nvidia and all of these giant LM companies who are spending all this money on training are going to go to zero eventually.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from James Currier

Opinion
Currier: MrBeast relies on weak scale effect and is vulnerable like BuzzFeed
“That's a scale effect. And it's a very weak one. Yeah, no, he's very vulnerable. Just like Buzzfeed was very vulnerable and wasn't going to go anywhere.”
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Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Currier: Unlimited AI processing will run on phone CPUs within four years
“AI is going to be like water. You're going to get free unlimited AI processing on your CPU. On your phone within three to four years. There's no doubt it's going to free”
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Opinion
Currier: Sell Nvidia, buy Google and Microsoft for their distribution
“Oh, I mean, opinion is that I would sell. Yeah. NVIDIA compared to long-term, I would still be a Google and a Microsoft buyer because of the distribution.”
James Currier Apr 15, 2025 ▶ 1:12:42 From making $6/week selling worms to making $110M+
Opinion
Currier: Zuckerberg's virtual world is still behind 2003 Second Life tech
“What Zuckerberg is trying to do right now with his virtual world is still behind what Corey Andreka and Philip were able to do with the technology in 2003 and four.”
James Currier Apr 15, 2025 ▶ 1:25:11 From making $6/week selling worms to making $110M+
Insight
Currier: Speed is the single biggest determinant of founder success
“So the number one thing that it rolls up into is speed. So you could lay out 16 characteristics that you're looking for, but all of those lead to one thing, which is speed. And so if we measure speed when we're meeting with the founders, that's the main thing …”
James Currier Apr 15, 2025 ▶ 9:16 From making $6/week selling worms to making $110M+
Disclosure
Currier: Stan Chudnovsky and I have never lost money for investors
“Stan and I have never failed. We've never lost a dime for anyone. We've always made people money for the last 25 years”
James Currier Apr 15, 2025 ▶ 15:11 From making $6/week selling worms to making $110M+
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