The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 18 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Ries: Google's Lost AI Opportunity Is a Bigger Debacle Than Kodak
“You know, I think if you do it, if you do the math, that's a bigger corporate debacle from a value creation, value loss perspective than Kodak's inability to commercialize a digital camera, just because the opportunity cost of that is so immense.”
Eric Ries: Vibe coding will cause a Chernobyl-style disaster
“Like this, the vibe coding era is gonna be remembered for a Chernobyl style disaster is my prediction. People are vibe coding software that they do not understand. And it's only a matter of time with all the hype that's being poured into this right now. It is …”
Ries: Anthropic's enterprise AI lead stems from its trust advantage
“I think it's extremely obvious if you look at the data that's been published so far, that part of the reason they have an enterprise advantage is because they have a trust advantage.”
Ries: Developers investing in craftsmanship will run circles around vibe coders
“I think in the long run, people who invest now in craftsmanship, in the understanding of software principles, architectural principles, artistic principles, whatever the thing is, are going to be so much better off. They're going to wind up being like incredib…”
Ries: Anthropic's Long-Term Benefit Trust appoints corporate board directors
“Their company is governed by something called the long-term benefit trust, which is an outside set of trustees that are not like a vague advisory board or like remember the trust And safety counsel that that Facebook famously had and The totally ignored. The L…”
Ries: Every Transformer Paper Coauthor Left Google to Commercialize Elsewhere
“And if you look at the coauthors of that paper has a ton of coauthors, not a single one commercialized the transformer at Google. They all, every single one had to leave and do it elsewhere.”
Ries: Standard Corporate Best Practices Are a Value-Destroying Mess
“And I basically think today's best practices are a value destroying mess.”
Ries: 19th-century corporate charters were voided if companies only pursued shareholder wealth
“And in fact, in the 19th century, to convert a company from a mission of doing any specific thing to just, I'm just going to enrich my shareholders, would have been seen as a crime. And your corporate charter would be voided.”
Eric Ries: Generating code with AI causes skill atrophy and 'dark flow'
“When you're using cloud code to create artifacts, you are actually causing skill atrophy in yourself. You have gone from the flow state of building stuff into what we call dark flow, which is the state you get into when you're using a slot machine.”
Ries: Training AI models on uncompensated human writings is atrocious
“Speaking of someone who's in the training data without any of us being compensated, by the way, which I think is atrocious.”
Ries: Anthropic Founders Left OpenAI Over AI Safety Dispute
“I met the Anthropik team when they first left OpenAI, and they, you know, they left over a dispute With OpenAI over you know, exactly how to pursue the question of AI safety.”
Ries: FTX Implosion Auctioned Anthropic Shares to Unaligned Investors
“Huge chunks of Anthropic stock were sold at auction to any investor who wanted them, including people who are super, super unaligned.”
Ries: Trustworthiness is one of the most underrated business assets today
“I think that that courageous stand that they took, again, leaving aside the politics of it, just looking at it from a pure business perspective, Is an example of a very savvy business strategy that sees trustworthiness as an asset, like a business asset that c…”
Ries: Most founders are naive about founding documents allowing their removal
“Most founders are hopelessly naive about this point. They think that they're in control of the company, and they're always so betrayed when they find out that their own founding documents basically say that they can be removed at any time. And they don't reali…”
Ries: LLMs may be the best teaching technology in history
“And what's cool about LLMs I think is not that they're artifact generating machines. They're okay at that, but like take them out of their distribution and all of a sudden you're in big trouble, but they're incredibly good teaching machines. There may be the b…”
Ries: Human creative writing begins when AI rates a draft 10/10
“When the AI says it's 10 of 10, now our work, now the work begins. See people stop there, but no, now we have reached the limits of its training data. Now it's time to actually do the creative act of writing”
Ries: Correcting LLM errors in-chat increases likelihood of bad outputs
“And that has to do with the mechanics of the attention mechanism. As the contracts gets larger, you're literally spreading the attention over more and more and more data. But also, it's learning from all the bad examples it gave. So it's actually much more lik…”