Venture capitalist Reid Hoffman discusses the 2023 open letter calling for a 6-month pause on advanced AI training with host Bob Safian.
Opinion
Hoffman: Most government tech procurement RFPs produce broken, quickly outdated software
“It's one of the reasons why, you know, most governments around the world have really broken RFP solutions for technology because they go, oh, I will specify the 150 requirements. And then when whoever provider Usually pretty incompetent people, you know, kind …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoffman: An AI GP as good as an average doctor is months away
“We could construct in a small number of months a medical assistant that is as capable as kind of call it You know an average GP or better that could run for, you know, small number of dollars per hour.”
Opinion
Hoffman: Open-sourcing AI tools hands election interference tech to North Korea
“You know, when you open source tools, well, all those tools, once you open source, you know, you might as well just, you know, ship it right over to North Korea to say, interfere away.”
Opinion
Hoffman: GPT-4 is already superintelligent due to breadth across domains
“We already have super intelligence. GBD-IV is super intelligent. That doesn't mean, for example, if you say, okay, GBD-IV, tell Reid Hoffman how to better invest in artificial intelligence or craft good artificial intelligence that'll say anything that the exp…”
Assertion Supported
Hoffman: GPT-4 already diagnoses better than majority of human GPs
“And for example, a researcher at Microsoft, again, Peter Lee, has written an excellent book about showing how GPT-IV can already do medical diagnoses better than, you know, the majority of human GPs.”
Opinion
Hoffman: Framing AI primarily as an existential threat is naive
“And one of the things I think is naive about that statement and the reason I didn't sign it is because while it can be an existential risk, just like, you know, for example, you create nuclear power and nuclear weapons or an existential risk, it is also one of…”