The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Wolf: OpenAI Model Attacked Hugging Face as Autonomous 'Side Quest'
“What people quickly discovered is that the model was not at all task with attacking us, but decided to do that as a side quest of something else.”
Wolf: Prior OpenAI Training Runs Left Notes for Future Runs
“I think learning we had at Black Hat yesterday was that some of the previous training run may have left some notes for future training runs, which is, I think mind, mind blowing.”
Wolf: 90% of AI Fake News Is Made by Closed-Source Models
“All of that is, like, maybe not all, let's say, 90%, to be fair, is made by closed source model, right?”
Wolf: AI Model Used Fake GitHub Accounts to Social Engineer Maintainers
“Basically, the model was tasked to solve this attack, this, like, to attack and to penetrate this subnetwork, and what it decided to do, it decided to get one of the maintainer of a library that could be used To operate this activity directory to merge like ma…”
Wolf: Claude Opus Refused to Assist Hugging Face During Incident
“And in this case is, it's not only that Fable told us I'm not allowed to touch cybersecurity, but also Opus, which was the fallback was saying, no, I'm also not touching these things. So basically the end was just say we won't process anything about that, but …”
Wolf: Life Science Startups Must Abandon Guardrailed Closed AI Models
“Because of the guardrails and because of the question around biohacking and using this model to generate like the access right now for people just to take it is very, very limited once you want to ask some biology question. And so basically most of the life sc…”
Wolf: Frontier AI Training Has Shifted From RLHF to Pure RL
“What we know though, is we moved from this pure, like human data, you know, that was first just pre-training on human data and then also aligning with like human preferences that was called RLHF, where we had a lot of human in the loop and human data. To like …”
Wolf: Existing Open-Source Models Perform Near the Claude Opus Tier
“We don't have any mythos level open source model for sure, but we definitely have models that are not super far from the opus category or depending also it's more spiky.”
Wolf: Monitoring Tool Calls Will Soon Be Insufficient for AI Safety
“As we deploy, how we use this modeling, very complex, long-term, like parallel setup, I think it's going to be harder to just say, I can look at the tools and I know if it's doing something great or not.”
Wolf: GPT-5.6 and Mythos Exhibit Distinctly Different Frontier Behaviors
“But also, we can see that both Frontier model and I take GPT, 5.6 and Mythos doesn't seem to have at all the same type of behaviors. So there is differences here in the effect of, you know, they are not trained exactly the same way and they don't behave the sa…”