why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Adobe data shows AI is increasing creative hiring, not reducing it
“So in our data, we're still seeing this revolution drive hiring more as opposed to reducing the hiring.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Belsky predicts local LLMs on personal devices will suffice for most
“I think that verticals will be important. I think the LMs will be abundant. And I actually think at some point, maybe relatively soon, we'll realize that some LMs, even locally running LMs on our machines are enough for a lot of the actions that we want to do …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Repetitive design work like banner ad formatting is already replaced by AI
“The job of someone turning squares into rectangles all day for banner ads, that job's been replaced by AI.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scott Belsky admits a significant portion of daily Photoshop downloaders get lost
“For all the people that download any of these desktop products like Photoshop every day, the number of people that get lost or can't feel successful in the product is really Significant.”
Assertion Partly supported
Belsky: CAI has 2,000 partners, including Nikon, Canon, Sony, and Leica
“We now have 2000 partners, Nikon, Canon, Sony, and Leica have all come out with cameras. They now add counter-credentials to assets by default taking in their camera so that when they come into Photoshop or Lightroom or third-party products of other companies,…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Brands will flood the market with content, raising the engagement bar
“We're entering a world where, first of all, every brand's gonna absolutely flood the zone with content. That's gonna make the bar go up for the digital experiences that really engage us.”
Assertion Partly supported
Belsky: Adobe automatically adds Content Credentials to AI-generated assets
“Whenever you use AI in any of our products, we automatically add credentials to the asset. That says what tool was used and what model you used.”