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The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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1resolved → 0open predictions → 1held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mike Olson predicts MapReduce compute cycles in Hadoop clusters will approach zero
“I think the percentage of cycles spent on MapReduce in Hadoop clusters generally is going to asymptotically approach zero. That's not because there will be less MapReduce happening, but because there will be so much of the other stuff happening.”
Mike Olson Dec 18, 2014 ▶ 10:45 Mike Olson, Cloudera // The Cloudera Story (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Big data market has the potential to surpass relational database market size
“I think that there's an opportunity for the big data market to be much bigger than the relational database market was, right?”
Mike Olson Dec 18, 2014 ▶ 21:33 Mike Olson, Cloudera // The Cloudera Story (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Prediction Held up
Majority of big data market spend will go to applications, not platforms
“The lion's share of the money spent in the market Is going to be for apps, not for the platform.”
Mike Olson Dec 18, 2014 ▶ 28:57 Mike Olson, Cloudera // The Cloudera Story (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
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