why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mike Olson predicts MapReduce compute cycles in Hadoop clusters will approach zero
“I think the percentage of cycles spent on MapReduce in Hadoop clusters generally is going to asymptotically approach zero. That's not because there will be less MapReduce happening, but because there will be so much of the other stuff happening.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Big data market has the potential to surpass relational database market size
“I think that there's an opportunity for the big data market to be much bigger than the relational database market was, right?”
Prediction Held up
Majority of big data market spend will go to applications, not platforms
“The lion's share of the money spent in the market Is going to be for apps, not for the platform.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hadoop's shared-nothing architecture does not easily translate to OLAP or OLTP workloads
“Hadoop, this big scale-out, shared-nothing architecture, is good at much, but that architecture doesn't easily translate into OLAP or OLTP workloads.”
Assertion Supported
Intel acquired an 18 percent equity stake in Cloudera for $740 million
“Intel spent seven hundred forty million dollars and acquired an 18% stake in Cloudera.”
Assertion Supported
IBM began offering open-source alternatives within 2.5 years of Cloudera's founding
“At two and a half years, IBM was looking at what we were doing and offering their own open source alternatives, so.”
Assertion Partly supported
Annual spend on relational database tools is double the underlying platform spend
“Seventy billion annually is spent on services and applications and tools on top, right? So more than twice as big as the platform play is The tools play.”
Assertion Supported
Hortonworks' IPO matched its prior private valuation after a 60 percent spike
“Horton's IPO was exceptionally run, right? I mean, you know, A nice sixty-plus percent spike in the stock up to mid-twenties. It re-achieved the valuation that it had hit in private investment prior.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Splunk and Tableau were the only public big data stocks before Hortonworks
“Prior to Hortonworks IPO, you could go buy some Splunk, or you could buy Tableau, and there was really nothing else that was big data.”