The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Laskin: Reflection AI will ship research requiring 100k GPU equivalence in 2025
“Later this year we'll be shipping things that I don't think anyone ever thought a startup could do. Like, I think that we're going to be shipping some things on the research side that I think everyone thinks you need to be a giant lab with a 100,000 GPUs to do…”
Laskin: Principal-level AI engineers are a couple of years away
“And that the combination of this you know, L-Nine with Amnesia and the L-Nine's context core will together, you know, that will become the principal level engineer, the AI engineer. And so I actually think that that's not too far away. That's I would say in, y…”
Laskin: Reflection AI regularly beats OpenAI, Anthropic, and DeepMind for talent
“We win over candidates over OpenAI and Anthropic Meta, DeepMind regularly.”
Laskin: Traditional RAG agents fail for any meaningful software engineering query
“It'll grab it, and then that's all you have, and most likely, for any meaningful query it will not have given you the information that you need to actually go do the task. So rag agents are actually, are pretty weak.”
Laskin: Coding agents are currently at an L4 junior engineer level
“There is in some sense, we are probably at a L four kind of junior, junior engineer level of autonomy, which is pretty incredible.”
Laskin: AI coding tools are thin wrappers with low switching costs
“It's really easy to switch around between various different coding providers today because they don't really integrate deeply, and so, you know, you can try cursor today, you can try cloud code tomorrow, you can switch, you know, to windsurf, and there's reall…”
Laskin: Current agentic search tools do not scale to large codebases
“That's basically where Agentex search is today, where you're going and you're kind of exploring, and you have this tiny flashlight, and you have to then remember everything in your head, and obviously that's a first form of comprehension, but it's also a prett…”
Laskin: Organizational superintelligence will probably be an all-encompassing oracle
“We realized that probably the form factor of an organizational super intelligence, like the thing that's really gonna help organizations get a lot of stuff done, is probably gonna be something like an oracle. Like an oracle that understands the entire organiza…”