why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Thomas Reardon calls the iPhone a Trump-level disaster for humanity
“I think the iPhone is a Trump level disaster for humanity.”
Insight
Current AI products are at the Nokia 3320 stage, not the iPhone
“I think, a thing I tell a lot of my colleagues is that we're really in the silly times of mobile phones, and then if we get really lucky, maybe what we're currently working on is like the Nokia 33 20, like a good phone, but it's not yet the smartphone. It's no…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2029
Azeem Azhar: 75% of people will use AI daily by 2029
“I think you have to be making quite a bold and, you know, heterodox claim to say that we won't all, by which I mean, 75% of us, be using these things daily in less than seven years from when ChatGPT launched, which was November the 22. And, ah, and that means …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Azhar: Consumers won't be able to opt out of AI
“I suspect that that people won't really have a choice because their interface with the world is effectively largely mediated by private companies. So if you have an iPhone and you'll have an AI, if you me using salesforce.com for your CRM, It will have AI func…”
Insight
Native apps distract engineering teams by forcing them to build features thrice
“Because it's a, you know, huge distraction. You have to develop every feature, you know, three times for iPhone, Android, and the web.”