Prediction Open AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

Azeem Azhar: 75% of people will use AI daily by 2029

Azeem Azhar · From Business to Warfare: How AI Affects the Modern World | Azeem Azhar · Jul 2, 2024 · at 18:28

Azeem Azhar, author of Exponential View, discusses the adoption curve of AI compared to past technology shifts like smartphones.

0:00 / 0:28exact quote · 28.2s
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“I think you have to be making quite a bold and, you know, heterodox claim to say that we won't all, by which I mean, 75% of us, be using these things daily in less than seven years from when ChatGPT launched, which was November the 22. And, ah, and that means that it's the next four or five years where it would happen. And that would be, I think, quite conservative because that would say that's an iPhone trajectory. And I think this will be faster than the iPhone trajectory.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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