Matt Ober

General Partner, Social Leverage · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

investorexecutivescientistoperator@obermattj ↗LinkedIn ↗mattober.co ↗

Matt Ober previously served as the Chief Data Scientist at Third Point LLC and Head of Data Strategy at WorldQuant. Today, he invests in early-stage fintech, AI, and data-driven startups at venture capital firm Social Leverage and writes the publication The Rollup.

17statements → 5claims → 0claims resolved → 3.29/5average certainty → 2.12/5average debate potential → 4.2/5argument clarity · the sources →

5 not checkable as stated how the 5 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 3 assertions · 2 opinions · 6 insights · 4 disclosures · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 5 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 0 are resolved, and 5 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Matt argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Argument clarity: do they answer the question? how? →

4.2 / 5 directness 4.3 · coherence 4.5 · precision 3.9 · compression 3.8

redirected or did not address 1 of 12 assessed questions (8%). Watch them ▸

This is a score against a rubric. It is not a rank. Every host question → answer exchange is scored with names hidden on directness, coherence, precision and compression, 1–5 each, on meaning alone: disfluencies are ignored, and only raw unedited episodes count. This is the score that measures thought. Every scored exchange, scores shown → · The rubric and its checks →

How they sound: speaking style how? →

275 words/min while actually speaking · 14.2 um and uh per 1k words

Measured by listening to the audio itself: 3,939 words across 1 episode of raw-level tape, transcribed verbatim with every um and uh kept, each one attributed only where the alignment onto our timed stream is unambiguous. These are measurements of speaking style. We do not rank them: across this corpus, fluency and argument quality are nearly uncorrelated (ρ≈0.2), and smooth talking does not signal clear thinking. How it's measured →

Everything Matt Ober said on the MAD Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Insight
Ober: Fundamental funds need more data per company than quantitative funds
“So it's interesting because when you move from quantitative to fundamental, the amount of data that's relevant is, you know, Enormous on the fundamental side, because you're really diving into these single names.”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 1:23 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Opinion
Ober: Satellite car-counting data rarely drives hedge fund investment decisions
“I don't think that there's a lot of firms really counting cars in parking lots, and that's what's really making their, ah, decision making.”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 8:34 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Insight
Ober: Quant funds require two years of backtestable daily data before purchasing
“If you're going to sell to a quantitative hedge fund, anything less than two years of daily data that's really been stored point in time that you can really back test is really going to be tough to make that ten million dollar sale.”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 11:39 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Insight
Ober: Simpler financial models outperform complex machine learning over time
“Going back to the very basics, you kind of find that, like, the simpler it is, the better it actually performs over time, if you're not trading at this higher frequency.”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 16:05 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Insight
Ober: Fundamental funds prioritize good communicators over the smartest PhDs
“We may not need the smartest PhD within a fundamental shop because we have to be able to explain and understand what they're doing and really talk their language whereas a quantitative hedge fund, there's more opportunity to maybe work on your own and not have…”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 18:00 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ober: Fundamental hedge funds began data transformation around 2016–2017
“Sure, so I think kind of a revolution in the hedge fund industry mainly because you have the quantitative hedge funds that have really been leaders in technology and data, and now you have the fundamentals really over the last, call it two, three years, thinki…”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 0:19 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Disclosure
Ober: Third Point uses data to evaluate existing ideas rather than mine new ones
“Rather than mining data for new ideas, we're almost looking for data to help us understand the ideas we may already have, or to, you know, create very sophisticated screens, you know, looking across all these companies to kind of dwindle down a smaller list of…”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 4:32 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Insight
Ober: Shared alternative datasets increase stock volatility around corporate earnings
“Yeah, I think it brings more volatility into, you know, events, earnings, especially for firms that are trading around these events, where everybody's looking at the same credit card data.”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 7:29 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ober: The era of multi-million dollar single-dataset sales is over
“The multi-million dollar data sales was maybe something that you saw three, four, five years ago. I think now that, you know, people are understanding what data is actually worth they're maybe not trying to get exclusive access to just one data set because the…”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 10:08 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Opinion
Ober: Culture is the biggest hurdle for fundamental hedge funds
“I mean, I think the culture is the biggest Hurdle that all these funds face.”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 17:50 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ober: AI will enhance investment workflows rather than replace nuanced investment jobs
“Some of the more sophisticated strategies where you really have to understand the nuances, and maybe it's structured products, maybe it's structured credit. We're doing things where companies are being, you know, split apart, and they're selling different piec…”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 20:42 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Disclosure
Third Point aims to centralize thousands of datasets for instant company analysis
“As a team, it's, you know, how do we incorporate and leverage all this rich and unique data that's out there and kind of bring it into one real centralized place. So to really understand companies and coming from thousands of different data sets so that we can…”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 23:09 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ober: Alternative macroeconomic data will eventually become widely accessible
“Now maybe it's only a few people that are leveraging it, and it's alpha, and eventually it becomes something that everybody has access to.”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 25:29 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Matt Ober: Alternative data adoption expanded from quants to private equity and mutual funds
“Yeah, I mean, I think obviously at the beginning it was definitely all quantitative hedge funds that were consuming as much data as possible. I think now if you go to some of these conferences like Battlefin, where you can have hundreds of data meetings in one…”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 26:55 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Disclosure
Ober: Third Point requires ML stock picks to be explainable to managers
“When the model creates a list of companies for us that we should go invest in, we need to be then able to explain to our you know, PMs and analysts internally what's driving that decision, and they really want to get into the deep roots of why it's picking tho…”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 29:47 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Insight
Ober: Fundamental investors treat alternative data as one input, unlike quant funds
“Using this data is very different from a quant fund who's placing lots of trades, both long and short at the same time. Whereas an activist or long-term investor might look at this as just, ah, another input into their longer investment approach.”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 8:05 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
Disclosure
Ober: Third Point looks to outsource data structuring and ingestion
“It's something we do do ourself. I think it's one of those areas where data structuring, even data ingestion and onboarding data sets is something that us and most firms are looking at how do we, you know, outsource that to another company because we're only s…”
Matt Ober Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 30:44 Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Fireside Chat: Matt Ober, Chief Data Scientist at Third Point (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC Feb 25, 2019 17m
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