Yann Dubois

23 statements across 1 episodes · 9 bullish · 3 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement May 21, 2026 by Yann Dubois · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Yann Dubois's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Everything said about Yann Dubois, oldest first

May 21, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dubois: Simulations will never fully eliminate the need for real-world AI training
“The problem is simulations are always going to be really hard and are not going to be truthful. So I think there will always need to be a certain, a little bit of training that will need to happen in the real world to make sure that the model realizes kind of …”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 29:54 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 neutral
Insight
Dubois: AI models outperform new employees initially but lack continual learning
“Right now, actually most models at day zero, if you just drop them in a company arguably they are more useful than most new employees. So they start higher at T zero. But then across time they are mostly constant because they don't really learn kind of company…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:06:39 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026
Disclosure
OpenAI focuses on reducing AI agent error probability per time interval
“What we've been pushing a lot on is, like, making sure that the model, like, we decrease this probability of being wrong every, like, two minutes.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 4:44 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dubois: Horizontal AI model progress will not stop anytime soon
“Maybe one day when we stop making horizontal progress, which I don't think is anytime soon, maybe we will start focusing on that, but yeah, that's not what we're doing now.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:12:59 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dubois: AI's coding discontinuity will permeate other verticals within two years
“Now the feeling of discontinuity will happen. It did happen three months ago with coding or four months ago with coding, and I think that will happen now in every other domains. Like most people are not feeling the same way Like the, like kind of the capabilit…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:04:53 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026
Insight
Dubois: AI model knowledge calibration generalizes across all domains
“When you have hallucination of LMs, if a model is really bad at saying that it doesn't know, that usually happens in every single domain. You won't have, like, one domain where the model is extremely calibrated about its knowledge, and another domain where it'…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 54:04 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 positive
Insight
Dubois: Quantifying AI improvements is as important as training models
“Finding issues and, like, making sure that we can quantify improvements is just as important, if not more important, but there's always this, like, cultural gap.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:01:45 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dubois: AI community is still pretty far from real-world embodied interaction
“So I do feel like we will improve the common sense of our model by having them interact in the real world. But we are, we're still pretty far from that, I think. And by we, I mean just generally the academic community and the AI community seems pretty far from…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 29:14 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 negative
Disclosure
OpenAI's Yann Dubois rarely uses GPT-5.5 Pro due to high latency
“I personally don't use Pro that much because I really don't like waiting. I'm pretty impatient, so I don't like waiting for that long, and I know that the probability of being correct definitely improves, but it doesn't improve, like, enough for me to use it.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 19:33 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026
Insight
Dubois: AI research aims to shift test-time scaling curves left
“The usual plot that you should be looking at is X axis, the number of tokens that you think for and Y axis the performance. So this is the, these test time scaling curves that we look at. And research basically tries to move this curve to the left. So think le…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 10:16 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026
Disclosure
Dubois: A large portion of OpenAI post-training team works on model-as-a-judge frameworks
“A lot of my team works on that, and I think it's really critical is to work on this model, model as a judge kind of framework.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:04:12 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dubois: AI frontier labs have successfully bypassed internet data walls
“There were a lot of conversation about hitting data walls, and it seems like we did not quite hit it. So the larger the model is, the more data it needs to ingest to be trained. And it seems like different companies kind of found different ways to overcome the…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 26:43 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dubois: Embodied AI will advance general intelligence through world interaction
“I still believe that once we go to embodied agents, embodied AI, you will learn a lot about the world. And you will kind of improve general intelligence and usefulness to users by learning how, how the world interacts with itself.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 27:56 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026
Insight
Dubois: Last-mile integration is the main AI bottleneck, not raw intelligence
“I think most of the time, the bottleneck is the last mile.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:12:34 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dubois: AI outperforming humans in specific domains creates evaluation bottlenecks
“Models in specific axes are becoming better than the majority of humans, and so we have fewer and fewer humans that can actually evaluate these models in particular axes.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:01:24 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 positive
Insight
Dubois: Larger AI models achieve higher efficiency by thinking through weights
“If you have larger models the amount of thinking time, so the amount of tokens they will think for will usually decrease. And the way that you can think about it is that metaphorically, the model already thinks through its weights when it generates a certain t…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 24:34 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026
Insight
Dubois: Creating AI evaluations inherently creates methods for building training datasets
“Every time you build an eval, you actually build a way to build training data sets.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:03:13 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dubois: General AI agent harnesses designed to endure will not work
“If you try to have, like, a general harness to, that will, like, sustain over time I don't think that will work.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:10:25 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 positive
Insight
Dubois: AI models create a capability flywheel as better models become better teachers
“As we get, like, better models we have this self-reinforcing loop, and we have this, like, capability flywheel, where better models become better teachers for other models.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:03:45 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 positive
Insight
Dubois: AI performance in new verticals depends on domain expert focus
“And in general, I would say the performance of the model really depends on, like, the number of people who care about the final output of the model and who are looking at that model. So if they start looking more on specific verticals, like, these verticals wi…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 50:03 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 positive
What-if
Dubois: Current models with optimized harnesses would feel like AGI
“If we froze the models that we have right now, and you really worked on the harness, and, like, maybe, like, we also spend more time, like, training with, like, a great harness I think people would really feel the AGI in every single domain, or could already f…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 1:10:51 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026
Insight
Dubois: Longer-running agentic AI tasks inherently carry higher overall error probabilities
“Given that these are agentic models the longer, if you just think about it as like every two minutes, there's like a certain probability that they are wrong. The longer that they run, The higher the probability that, like, the final answer is going to be wrong…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 4:28 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 neutral
Insight
Dubois: Multimodal data is not strictly necessary for strong AI reasoning
“I always thought That it would really help, ah, kind of your reasoning abilities if you have a lot of multimodal data And I still think this, but for example, like if you look at entropic models, they tend to not be that good on multimodal, and they are still …”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 27:32 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
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