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Nathan Lambert

10 statements across 1 episodes · 4 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Nov 20, 2025 by Nathan Lambert · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Nathan Lambert's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Everything said about Nathan Lambert, oldest first

Nov 20, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lambert: Chinese open AI models currently do not contain backdoors
“Like, you can't prove that the models aren't doing certain backdoors, where I'm fairly certain they definitely aren't now.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 17:52 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 20, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lambert: Best open-license AI models near the frontier in 2025 were Chinese
“The models that are from closest to the frontier in performance with good license all happened to be Chinese models throughout the year for this case.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 58:29 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 20, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lambert: Big tech will realize 95-98% of LLM potential by 2030
“I think that how I describe it is that big tech has all collectively realized that these language models plus scaffolding is going to unlock absolutely incredible value. And I have very high probability, barring extreme geopolitical situations, that big tech E…”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 1:24:19 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 20, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lambert predicts more US labs will release open AI models
“If you look at this podcast in the coming months, I do think there's going to be, look like there's a lot more labs in the U S participating.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 16:22 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 20, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lambert: Larger pre-trained base models are easier to improve with RL
“A better base model and a bigger base model is much easier to improve with RL.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 44:29 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 20, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lambert: AI progress will yield steady improvements rather than rapid singularity
“I think these researchers are going to grind out improvements for multiple years, but never in a way that results in this kind of accelerating well that we get drawn into.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 1:21:34 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 20, 2025 neutral
What-if
Lambert: Scaling AI 10x alters post-training, not pre-training methods
“If like, if we were to train a model that was 10 times as big, like all this post-training stuff would change. But the pre-training And mid training and long contacts, I think would actually become looking pretty similar.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 40:55 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 20, 2025
Disclosure
Lambert: Ai2 generated billions of DeepSeek completions over a weekend
“We had a bunch of cloud credits and I, they were running out and we're behind and I just generated like as many completions as possible. So it was like a few billion completions from deep seek over the weekend.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 1:08:18 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 20, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lambert: Long-context extension is essential for reasoning AI models
“Three is long context extension, which is absolutely essential for these reasoning models because they generate so many intermediate tokens before sharing an answer with you.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 40:15 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 20, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lambert: As AI funding grows, fewer researchers speak in public
“There's so much money in AI and it only becomes increasingly so that the amount of people that can talk about these things in public and educate and get more people involved by spreading knowledge is ever smaller.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 29:52 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
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