Julian Schrittwieser

15 statements across 1 episodes · 8 bullish · 2 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Oct 23, 2025 by Julian Schrittwieser · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Julian Schrittwieser's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Everything said about Julian Schrittwieser, oldest first

Oct 23, 2025 neutral
Insight
AI app developers do not need custom fine-tuning for top models
“I think nowadays, with the capabilities of, like, you know, top, probably cloud models, top OpenAI, GPT models, You don't need to do any fine tuning. You can take the model as is, ride your own tools, your own harness, and benefit from that agentic training. B…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 51:30 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
AI autonomous task duration doubles every three to four months
“We are seeing this very consistent improvement over many, many years where every say like, you know, three, four months is able to like do a task that is twice as long as before completely on its own.”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 2:41 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025
Insight
Schrittwieser: Distributing AI productivity gains is a political problem, not technological
“I think it's much more like a political, social problem of, like, figuring out how do we actually benefit from all these improvements, and, like, you know, bring the increases in wealth and productivity to everybody, and it's much less a technological problem.…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:06:10 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Schrittwieser: Wider AI ecosystem may face bubble while frontier labs thrive
“There may simultaneously be like some sort of bubble in, you know, the wider ecosystem, while at the same time, the frontier labs on a very solid trajectory, having a lot of revenue, making a lot of money.”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 4:13 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 positive
Insight
Internal benchmarks are the most accurate way to select AI models
“Just make your own internal benchmark that really represents what you care about, and then measure on that. And I think that's likely to be the most objective, most accurate way of measuring.”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 56:03 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
A sudden AI singularity or intelligence explosion is extremely unlikely
“Yeah, I think a true discontinuity is extremely unlikely from, you know, obviously AI researchers are already using AI to accelerate themselves. And so what's, what's already happening and like what is likely to continue to happening is that we see like a smoo…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 17:11 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 positive
Insight
Pre-training aids AI alignment by implicitly instilling human values
“I definitely think we would keep using pre-training data, not just from an efficiency point of view as well, but also I think there is interesting safety angles, because by pre-training and, you know, all this human knowledge, we're implicitly creating an agen…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 22:07 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
AI research still lacks scaling laws for training data quality
“I think we don't have any good scaling laws yet. That tell us the trade off, especially I think because it's very hard to measure what is the quality of a data point, right? Like how good is this example compared to this other example without being able to mea…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 46:26 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Future AI models will continue to rely on pre-training data
“Personally, I think that's unlikely. Not, not because pre-training is strictly necessary. I think we may well be able to train something completely from scratch, as we've been able to do in other domains, but more because pre-training on this vast data sets th…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 21:27 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Top AI models will work autonomously for full days within two years
“In a year from now, maybe two years from now, it's the top models are going to be able to work completely on their own for like a whole day or more”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 3:01 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scientific advances are currently bottlenecked on applied intelligence
“All of those are basically bottlenecked on how much intelligence we have access to, and how can we apply it?”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:09:08 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schrittwieser: Current AI paradigm likely to achieve human-level performance in productivity tasks
“I think if you're thinking of, oh, we want some kind of system that can perform at roughly human level in basically all tasks that we care about. Productivity wise. Then I think, yeah, it's extremely likely that the current approach, pre-training RL, you know,…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 19:43 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025
What-if
AlphaGo would have probably lost to Lee Sedol if played earlier
“And I think if we had done it a few months earlier, we would have probably lost.”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 29:57 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 positive
Insight
Schrittwieser: Adding model reasoning improves RL training stability and scaling
“One direction of scaling RL and making it more stable is by improving this by, for example, putting more reasoning into your language model to generate much more high quality training data. That can then give us training that is much more stable, and then we c…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 47:40 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schrittwieser: AI progress will remain smooth and incremental without a single bottleneck
“There's probably, yeah, not one individual blocker. And that's why we will continue to see sort of smooth incremental progress over model releases”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 53:07 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
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