Eiso Kant

21 statements across 2 episodes · 7 bullish · 5 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Dec 20, 2023 by Eiso Kant · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Eiso Kant's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Everything said about Eiso Kant, oldest first

Dec 20, 2023
Insight
Kant: Model capabilities determine 80-90% of AI product value
“The capabilities of these products are determined today by the capabilities of the models underneath, right? About 80, 90%.”
Eiso Kant Dec 20, 2023 ▶ 12:15 The Race to Build the Ultimate AI Programmer | Poolside CTO Eiso Kant
Dec 20, 2023 bullish
Prediction Held up
Kant: Most developers will adopt AI pair programmers within two years
“Well, the first thing that I think is at this point, almost uncontested, but frankly, when I was building source, most people didn't think would happen is the fact that the majority, if not all developers in the next couple of years in the world will adopt som…”
Eiso Kant Dec 20, 2023 ▶ 9:29 The Race to Build the Ultimate AI Programmer | Poolside CTO Eiso Kant
Dec 20, 2023 bullish
Prediction Held up
Kant: Non-engineers will build software via AI prompts within three years
“We don't think we're more than three years out to that point where a non-engineer, someone with no coding, you know, software development background is able to come and give one of those high level vague things of what they want built, right? Cause that's what…”
Eiso Kant Dec 20, 2023 ▶ 10:42 The Race to Build the Ultimate AI Programmer | Poolside CTO Eiso Kant
Dec 20, 2023
Disclosure
Kant: Poolside is vertically integrating custom foundation models and offering APIs
“We deliver this AI pair programming assistant full application stack with the models, I think fully vertically integrated with our own foundation models trained from scratch, but then also exposing those models with an API to allow other people to build all th…”
Eiso Kant Dec 20, 2023 ▶ 11:44 The Race to Build the Ultimate AI Programmer | Poolside CTO Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kant: Expert RL will lift enterprise agent quality to 90% in years
“And I think what we'll see in the next couple of years is a lot of model companies ourselves as well. We go into these enterprises. We find high value use cases. We use our agents to get to 60 or 70% You know, of quality, and then use additional reinforcement …”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 34:36 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kant: RL2L will enable model reasoning much earlier in training
“We think we'll push models to a level of reasoning and thought That will happen far earlier in their training than it does today.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 39:03 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kant: Foundation model labs lacking physical infrastructure are 'cosplaying' their business
“If you're a foundation model company, and you're not building physical infrastructure, you're cosplaying your business.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 7:02 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kant: External software and agent frameworks will collapse into base models
“But we have a phrase at poolside, which is over time, everything collapses into the models.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 46:18 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kant: AI training will evolve into continuous learning from real-world agent experiences
“And then the fourth stage of training over time increasingly will become learning, continuous learning from real world experiences of these agents. And so those are kind of the four stages that we think training will go to.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 39:22 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kant predicts Poolside's models will reach frontier performance within 12 to 18 months
“Models reach the frontier. That's right now. I think we see a straight line towards this.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 1:04:41 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025
Insight
Kant: If AI intelligence commoditizes, only scale and delivery cost matter
“And within this world, if you think that intelligence is going to become less distinguishable between the companies building it, And becomes a commodity probably more like oil or cloud compute than like bread at the bakery, is there's two things that matter, y…”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 5:34 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025
Insight
Kant: The three critical AI stack layers are energy, compute, and intelligence
“There's three layers of the stack that fundamentally are going to matter. It's energy, it's compute, and it's the intelligence built on top.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 5:23 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025
Insight
Kant: Founders entering new domains should interview 100+ candidates per role
“And what I found to be one of the best advice I got a very long time ago, whenever you find yourself in that situation, well, this is when you want to start finding the experts to join you, but how do you find the experts? Because you yourself aren't. And here…”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 19:05 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 negative
Insight
Kant: Internet data lacks the thought processes needed for AGI
“But the reason that never got us to AGI is because, well, the internet never actually included the data set of the thoughts and actions that created it. It's the final piece of code, it's the final article you write, but not the thoughts that you had and actio…”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 35:58 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kant: Large-scale data center construction is concentrated among very few players
“What was particularly interesting to learn about the infrastructure space over time is that it's an incredibly small world. Everybody knows each other. It makes tech feel like a big world, right? The construction of data centers at scale has really only been d…”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 20:28 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Eiso Kant: Expert-created rubrics and environments will not scale to AGI
“But the singularly collecting of skills This way by creating environments and experts we don't think will scale to artificial general intelligence.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 35:24 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 neutral
Insight
Kant: Linearly adding GPUs to train larger AI models causes exponential training delays
“It is not that I can linearly add more GPUs and train increasingly a more larger model. If I do so, the time it takes becomes exponentially longer.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 50:06 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kant: A 250MW AI data center costs roughly $8 billion to build
“To energize, 250 megawatts is about half a billion dollars worth of physical infrastructure. So in the case of gas turbines, it's gas turbines, but there's different paths to it. Building a data center, like the powered shell that brings together all of the eq…”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 11:39 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Eiso Kant: Renewable-only data centers with battery storage are not economically viable yet
“Renewables only, in combination with the battery capacity that you would need to power a data center if you want renewable only, it's just not economically viable yet.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 27:30 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 positive
Insight
Kant: Full-stack AI infrastructure ownership cuts token costs 20-40%
“So when you take all those margins out, all of a sudden you can start seeing that you can serve your tokens, 2030, 40% cheaper than someone else.”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 14:52 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Nov 6, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kant: AI foundation model gross margins will settle near 40%
“I'm not yet convinced that gross margins in our industry will look like a SaaS company, like 80% plus. I think when we're talking about a commodity as intelligence, that we build value added services on top. Right. It's a foundation model company. On one hand,…”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 10:26 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
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