AI R&D
also referred to as: air&d
4 statements across 1 episodes · 2 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Aug 27, 2026 by Ryan Greenblatt · across every show →
Everything said about AI R&D, oldest first
Aug 27, 2026 positive
Aug 27, 2026 bullish
AI research and development will be fully automated by early 2029
“In terms of what I would recommend people plan as though is happening, I think I would recommend planning as though full automation of AR and D maybe. Start of year, 20, 29, maybe earlier. And then also AR and D being like quite, quite automated by 20, 28, pos…”
Aug 27, 2026 neutral
Greenblatt: Superintelligence will not suddenly emerge from cheap compute recipes
“It doesn't look like we're going to suddenly end up in a regime where like you could train super intelligence with a really cheap recipe, as opposed to it being more of an iterative thing where like the cost keeps going down, the capabilities keep going up. Th…”
Aug 27, 2026 bearish
Automating AI research and hardware manufacturing enables AI takeovers
“If AIs could just automate AIR&D and automate, like, sort of the industrial process of building more computers, then you could quickly end up in a In a process where sort of like robots are building robots and the whole world is greatly transformed. And that v…”