why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schwartz: AI Startups Cannot Unseat Google Purely on Search Product Quality
“I don't think there's a chance, and this is the biggest takeaway, I don't think there's a chance that ChatGPT or Perplexity or Claude or any of these other LLM startups, because they're startups now, even, even OpenAI as a startup with Bing's part, with Micros…”
Opinion
Vo: No AI tool has successfully unlocked agentic browser use
“I don't think anybody has really unlocked browser use. That is not just an OpenClaw thing. I think we look at ChatGPT Atlas, you look at Perplexity, Comet, you look at all of these kind of browser use. Plod has a browser use component. I don't think any of the…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schwartz: Top-Of-Funnel Search Queries Will Shift Into AI Overviews
“So now a lot of those keywords are going to be moving into these AI overviews. And I don't want to just focus on Google, although I think Google's going to own the entire search page forever and ever for at least for a very long time. But other engines, whethe…”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Smith: ChatGPT citation overlap with Google is only 35%, Perplexity is 70%
“We did a study looking at thousands of questions and saw the citation overlap with Google search results was around
35% for ChatGPT and Google. So not that much perplexity was around 70%”
Opinion
Beykpour: Perplexity is one of few consumer AI products that retains
“It's like one of the only non-development tool AI products that actually has retained. A lot of people try and consumer AI products that just aren't really, haven't retained, but perplexity is one that is a, it's a daily driver for me.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerber: Perplexity spends zero on paid marketing and drives growth via PR
“So for instance, perplexity, they have invested essentially zero in any paid marketing. They don't have a marketing person even, but they do do PR. And so essentially after their most recent announcement, they saw, you know, a massive spike in growth, a massiv…”
Assertion Partly supported
Perplexity employees must ask AI before asking colleagues a question
“I did an interview with the founders of perplexity a few years ago, asking about how they work at perplexity. And the founder said that before they were ruled before they ask a question of anyone on the team, they have to ask AI first.”
Disclosure
Lee: Gamma used Perplexity early on for outline generation
“Early on, things like creating the outline perplexity was actually great. You know, not one that people talk about as often, but creating the outline and doing web search and, you know, actually integrating some of those elements together for us was pretty pow…”
Assertion Partly supported
Smith: Chat prompts average 25 words versus six words on Google
“So the average number of words, I think perplexity said this, or somebody else said it was around 25 words versus Google words, around six words.”
Disclosure
Wilkinson: Automated AI Agent Researches Meeting Attendees via Perplexity
“It looks on my calendar, 30 minutes before I meet anyone. It goes on to perplexity and it does a deep dive on the person and it sends me, it goes into my email and it gets the context of the meeting.”