why aren't all 70 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Krieger compares internal AI research disruptions to Apple WWDC announcements
“It's the thing it most reminds me of like from the Instagram days where like Apple, like WWC announcements, you're like, this could either be awesome for us or could like absolutely like cause chaos for it. It's like that, but your own company is the one kind …”
Opinion
Komoroske: Apple executes marvelously by prioritizing product coherence
“Apple has chosen the former. It is very important to them to have the illusion of perfect coherence in their products. It works very well for them. They execute it marvelously.”
Insight
Helmer: Iconic companies commonly depend on second or third acts
“Another thing that's quite surprising about iconic businesses is they often have a second act or third act or fourth act. I mean, think of AWS or Intel going into CPUs or Apple going into iPhones, all, all not the original business, right? And that's actually …”
Opinion
Conrad: Steve Jobs ended Apple's paralysis by halting consensus voting
“I think what broke Apple out of that mode was Steve came back and like, they didn't vote anymore. Right. You know, Steve was just making the call.”
Opinion
Conrad: 1990s Apple rewarded cross-functional generalists over deep specialists
“One of the things like culturally about Apple in that moment was at least I felt like A person was really rewarded if they could make a kind of broad contribution across functions. So if you were, you know, a talented software engineer, but also a thoughtful p…”
Assertion Supported
Hearst: Apple used technical program managers instead of traditional product managers
“So again, there weren't product managers. The closest thing would have been TPNs, technical program managers, who kind of helped manage the sprints. And manage to schedule and listing out what features would be, would happen.”
Assertion Contradicted
Duarte: Apple was the first company to project computer presentations at scale
“Apple was the first company to hook up the computer to a projector at scale.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Miller: Web browsers are high-margin, cash-printing products with low marginal costs
“Browsers print cash. There is a reason why they're owned primarily by Google, Apple, Microsoft. They're incredibly high margin. They're incredibly lucrative, low marginal costs. The cost of revenue is incredibly low, et cetera.”
Opinion
Jackson: Google and Amazon spike in sincerity; Apple spikes in sophistication
“Amazon is sincere and competent. Google is sincere and competent. Apple is not. Apple has a little more of that, like sophistication to it.”
Assertion Supported
Kalinowski: Original MacBook Air proved computers could be CNC machined
“The very, very, very first MacBook Air was a pretty low volume device that was machined, but kind of had a proof, more of a proof of what could be done, and that was the Manila envelope one, I think, where the side door opened out to give you the port, and it …”
Assertion Supported
Apple Patented a Redesigned Pizza Box for Its Cafeteria
“They, at least when I was there, they had patented the pizza box cause they had reinvented the pizza box that you would get at cafe max.”
Assertion Partly supported
Only 24 People Are Listed on the Original Apple iPhone Patent
“20 of them are on the patent. There's 24 that were, that are on the iPhone patent. Now there's other people involved, but generally there's 24 people on the iPhone patent.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
An iOS 4 bug triggered a 1,000x server load spike for Gmail
“And it was a bug in iOS four. This is a long time ago, which caused every single user to pull the entire Gmail inbox, resync the whole inbox. So the bug on the Apple side is going to take two, three weeks to fix. And it was causing like a thousand X load to ou…”
Assertion Supported
Houston: BlackBerry and Nokia's peak sales occurred after iPhone's launch
“It was like Blackberry's and Nokia's best sales years happened in the lot, the years after launching the iPhone. So it doesn't, these things don't actually change immediately.”
Assertion Supported
Benioff wrote first native assembly programs for Macintosh 68000 development system
“And I wrote the first native assembly language on the Macintosh. It's kind of a crazy thing to be able to say, but it's, True that I was writing these example programs for this Macintosh 68,000 development system in, on these, you know, Apple headquarter build…”
Insight
Conrad: Temporary product design shortcuts often become permanent features for decades
“I think we all do this as designers and product people. We take these shortcuts that we think that we'll go back later and clean up. And sometimes, I mean, it's literally been 30 years, you know, that little design detail like lingers. You know, three implemen…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hearst: Steve Jobs spent months curating demo music libraries for iTunes launches
“Also the library was crafted. So he would give feedback for months on the content of the library because he would do demos. And so he wanted to know, you know, make sure all my favorite tracks are in there. My favorite Beatles records, my favorite Bob Dylan re…”
Assertion Supported
Austin Hay: Deterministic mobile ad tracking via IDFAs is effectively dead
“From 20 10 to 20 20, we had the golden years of deterministic matching where, you know, it was very easy to run an ad and understand with precision who installed the app. Maybe you don't know their name, but you actually would know their IDFA and you could tie…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
First Round Review attracted disproportionate subscribers from Google, Apple, and Amazon
“Whenever we would look at our list of subscribers, we had a disproportionate number of email addresses within those companies that were clearly curious about the startup experience.”
Opinion
McAllister: Amazon maintained a secretive, heads-down culture around 2010
“A lot of Amazon people I sort of felt were just like so hundred percent heads down. It was a little bit of a secretive culture, not maybe like Apple, but it was pretty private.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Conrad: Apple had only seven engineers working on the Finder
“There were seven engineers at Apple that worked on the finder.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Duarte won Apple, NASA, and Tandem contracts simultaneously via cold calls
“I called NASA, and I called Tandem, which is now HP, and I called Apple, and we won contracts at all three brands at the same time, and back then our company was called Duarte Desktop Publishing and Graphic Design.”