The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morgan: Relying on secondaries will reduce overall VC industry returns
“It's going to cut off the long tail. And if you look at the Ubers and the Roblox's and so on, it's that long tail where you make the giant returns. And so if you keep squashing it down, then the overall industry returns are going to, are, there's no question t…”
Howard Morgan Sep 2, 2025 ▶ 32:38 Howard Morgan on AI, Global Venture Investing & Founder Insights | NVCA Award Recipient Series
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morgan: First Round's Roblox Investment Returned 23x to 24x the Fund
“So we did Roblox, and you know, that in the end returned even more than Uber. Like, 23, 24 XCI.”
Howard Morgan Sep 2, 2025 ▶ 14:29 Howard Morgan on AI, Global Venture Investing & Founder Insights | NVCA Award Recipient Series
Disclosure
Hari: Ego's December 2024 Roblox AI game reached 1M players in two weeks
“We actually pushed that out on Roblox. I think it was, yeah, it was December, 24. We had all these AI characters in a Roblox game. We just kind of put it out there. People could create AI characters, or they could just kind of hang out, and we had about a mi…”
Vish Hari May 19, 2026 ▶ 28:16 Redefining Digital Consciousness with Vishnu Hari of ego | The Innovators & Investors Podcast
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