why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Kaplan: Democratic AI Resists Bad Actors Better Than Monolithic Silicon Valley LLMs
“I think that's a much more sort of robust and resistant to bad actor kind of design than having one giant LLM. You don't know how it operates because that's another problem. They're big black boxes and the value system was programmed in by five people at open …”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Chen: OpenAI and Anthropic will follow SpaceX with IPOs in 2026
“Obviously later this year we're following with some other big names and OpenAI and Anthropic.”
Opinion
Massay: Google ranks third behind OpenAI and Anthropic in AI models
“Right now, I think Google is kind of on the lower, is probably number three next to Anthropic and OpenAI.”
Disclosure
Blackington: Dovetail will train a closed proprietary AI model over OpenAI
“We're talking about being able to train something that is not open AI, that is closed off, and it's, that runs in its own channel, and how can we take that, and what can we train it to What can we teach it about healthcare and about this specific problem that …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Massay: Local AI models will gain traction in high-security applications
“The local models are going to be, I think, more, more popular when it comes to very secure applications, and they don't want to send their data over To somebody like an Anthropic or an OpenAI or, you know, they'd rather keep it all in-house.”
Insight
Ranjan: Architect AI Products So Foundation Model Upgrades Are Tailwinds, Not Headwinds
“So one of the core design principles which we had in the company is every model development has to be a tailwind for us, not headwind. If tomorrow Google launches a new Gemini model or OpenAI launches a new GPT model or like, you know, something like deep secr…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Bureaucracy Kept Google From Launching AI Tech Before OpenAI
“Funny enough, Google had the technology OpenAI had long before OpenAI had it. So, but it was bureaucracy that stopped that technology from coming out.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Emmons: Search algorithms will evolve to kill off AI-generated slop
“And I think that we're going to go back from it and the AI slop is eventually going to calm down and either become quality content or just turn off because It's going to stop influence on us. We're all trying to figure out how to essentially, you know, get mor…”
Insight
Evans: Startups outside OpenAI cannot skip sequential revenue growth stages
“You go from zero to a million to 5,000,005 million to ten million dollars, but you don't sort of skip steps in the middle. And there's this common misconception in venture capital that you somehow just wake up one day and you're a hundred million dollars a yea…”
Disclosure
Ambrose: People.ai customers include OpenAI, NVIDIA, and AMD
“We have customers across the whole spectrum a lot, actually, in the AI space, so, you know, OpenAI, NVIDIA AMD, some others, all the way down to and Iron Mountain.”
Assertion Supported
Padnos: OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar has advised Illuminate for a decade
“Meaning, they write the script and say, here's the email, just send to Sarah Fryer, who's now the CFO of OpenAI next week, who's been an advisor to us for 10 years, and I just put my personalization on it and off it goes.”
Disclosure
Tepper spent six months prompt engineering OpenAI for stock scoring
“We used OpenAI and did prompt engineering testing for about six months to create a, again, a point system from zero to a hundred of where does your forum land? And that's in Ticker right now.”