The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
McDowell predicts peak cycle prices: BTC $150k, ETH $10k, SOL $700
“I think realistic targets for this cycle, Bitcoin, a hundred and 150 K Ethereum, probably 10 K plus Solana could go to six, 700.”
James McDowell Feb 20, 2025 ▶ 25:11 26 - Investing in Web3 and Decentralized Blockchain Networks with Arcanum Capital Founding Partner James McDowall
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hargrave: Bitcoin will not replace the US dollar
“I'm not saying Bitcoin will replace the dollar. I don't think it will.”
John Hargrave Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 32:55 Navigating the Shift to AI SEO with John Hargrave of Media Shower | The Innovators & Investors Podcast
Insight
Hargrave: Cap long-term crypto allocation at maximum 10% of portfolio
“The basic approach is we recommend a basic, highly diversified portfolio, let's say, 60% stocks, 40% bonds, right? Just kind of your traditional portfolio, highly diversified, meaning, you know, an all stock index fund and an all bond index fund. We start ther…”
John Hargrave Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 24:14 Navigating the Shift to AI SEO with John Hargrave of Media Shower | The Innovators & Investors Podcast
Disclosure
Hargrave: Media Shower Nearly Collapsed After Pivoting Fully to Crypto in 2017
“So we pivoted the business, and we went all in on Bitcoin and crypto. It was a really great idea for three months. And then the price of Bitcoin tanked. It lost, like, 75% of its value, and the whole industry just dried up overnight, and all these new clients …”
John Hargrave Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 28:36 Navigating the Shift to AI SEO with John Hargrave of Media Shower | The Innovators & Investors Podcast
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Johnson bought Bitcoin in 2013 at an average price of $200
“So my average Bitcoin price was like 200 dollars a coin.”
Eugene Johnson Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 8:19 How Eugene Johnson, CEO of Revi is Disrupting Retail Transactions with AI and Customer Data
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